Just a final addendum to our 2009 Performance Evaluation series…We are making available the league averages, by league, for each of the statistics that we use when deriving the Performance Evaluation score. Just a brief recap on the statistics that we use:
For Hitters we use the following:
First Base Rate – ((1B/AB + BB/PA)*1.2)…scaled to approximate OBP
wPOW – ((doubles*3.0 + triples*1.2 + homeruns*10.0)/AB)*1.1)…scaled to approximate SLG
K/AB
SpeedScore – A weighted combination of three of the Bill James Speed Score Factors (SpdSB%, SpdSBA, SpdR), scaled to produce a rating that typically ranges from 0-10.
For Pitchers we use these statistical measures:
IP/G
K/BFP
BB/IP
HR/IP
And we of course use ‘Age’ for both hitters and pitchers. The complete chart of League Averages can be found here:http://www.scribd.com/doc/20434596/League-Averages
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Monday, September 28, 2009
Diamond Futures Retrospective - What Did We Expect From Albert Pujols?
As Albert Pujols is putting the finishing touches on a ‘decade triple crown’, a feat achieved previously by only Rogers Hornsby and Ted Williams, he is clearly stamping himself as one of the greatest hitters of all-time. The real question is…should we be surprised? To try to gain some perspective, I went to the filing cabinet and pulled out an article we wrote six years ago…
How Good Is He?
Originally published June 13, 2003
Originally published June 13, 2003
In February of 2001, coming off of a stunning MWL debut, we ranked Pujols as the #9 prospect in baseball. Eight months later, I wrote in a column that, not only had we just witnessed one of the better rookie classes in a long time, but that the Rookie of the Year performance, produced by Albert Pujols, was unquestionably the best major league player debut of any post World War II player. Well, as Albert Pujols is now nearly midway through his 3rd season and approaching 1500 career ABs, I am going to go one further…Albert Pujols has gotten off to the best start of any player to lace up a pair of spikes in the last 60 years. While that’s, both, a bold statement and some pretty rare air, the most amazing thing is that it isn’t even close.
Using Bill James’ Win Share formula, I examined all players, beginning their career after 1940, that had more than 70 Win Shares in any decade, or more than 250 Win Shares in their career, or was their league’s top rookie performer. From that list I determined the 20 best 3-full season starts. Then to normalize the numbers, I looked only at each players first 1500 major league At Bats. The following chart is the 20 best career starts, sorted by OPS:
Player,Age – AVG; OBA; SLG; OPS; RC; R; RBI; SB
A. Pujols, 23 - 0.336; 0.405; 0.615; 1.020; 392.7; 308; 335; 3
F. Thomas, 25- 0.321; 0.447; 0.550; 0.996; 409.8; 285; 296; 8
S. Musial, 23 - 0.343; 0.419; 0.537; 0.956; 363.0; 276; 221; 21
E. Mathews, 22 - 0.278; 0.382; 0.557; 0.939; 346.9; 269; 278; 15
M. Piazza, 27 - 0.323; 0.376; 0.559; 0.934; 328.1; 241; 314; 5
V. Guerrero, 23 - 0.314; 0.360; 0.565; 0.925; 320.2; 242; 263; 26
R. Allen, 24 - 0.311; 0.381; 0.541; 0.922; 330.4; 272; 225; 22
N. Garciapara, 25 - 0.313; 0.350; 0.556; 0.906; 307.0; 268; 260; 42
A. Rodriguez, 22 - 0.314; 0.363; 0.536; 0.899; 314.4; 281; 249; 59
F. Robinson, 22 - 0.299; 0.360; 0.534; 0.894; 306.5; 270; 205; 24
T. Oliva, 25 - 0.321; 0.367; 0.522; 0.889; 304.3; 257; 229; 36
M. Mantle, 22 - 0.295; 0.387; 0.499; 0.887; 317.0; 295; 272; 21
F. Lynn, 25 - 0.308; 0.374; 0.503; 0.877; 302.8; 253; 245; 26
M. McGwire, 25 - 0.262; 0.352; 0.524; 0.876; 295.8; 245; 292; 2
C. Jones, 24 - 0.291; 0.378; 0.490; 0.868; 305.1; 266; 266; 35
O. Cepeda, 22 - 0.311; 0.346; 0.513; 0.859; 281.7; 222; 250; 46
K. Griffey, Jr, 21 - 0.297; 0.367; 0.476; 0.843; 286.5; 214; 223; 47
C. Ripken, Jr, 23- 0.290; 0.345; 0.489; 0.835; 265.6; 244; 222; 4
Ba. Bonds, 23 - 0.258; 0.342; 0.471; 0.813; 273.5; 268; 165; 85
J. Bench, 22 - 0.279; 0.329; 0.474; 0.804; 245.7; 208; 256; 10
Not only is Pujols the OPS and SLG leader, but he ranks 1st in RBIs, 1st in Runs Scored, 1st in doubles, 2nd in RC (Bill James Runs Created Formula), 2nd in Average, 3rd in HRs (behind McGwire and Mathews), and 3rd in OBA (behind Frank Thomas and Musial). With a date of birth of January 16, 1980, only Hall of Famers Stan Musial (8th Best player of All-time by Bill James) and Eddie Mathews (26th all-time) have gotten off to as good of starts to their careers… And Pujols is showing this year he is still getting better.
To try to add some perspective, as Sammy Sosa and Rafael Palmeiro passed the 500HR mark this year at ages 33 and 37 respectively, Pujols projects to pass 500 HRs at age 32, clearly putting Hank Aarons 756 within his reach. 3000 Hits…look for that around age 35. An all-time RBI mark of 2300…try around age 37. While I grant you that 1500 At Bats is only around 15% of the career total he would have to amass to reach these numbers, and a lot can and likely will happen over the next 15 years or so, IF he would have a career free of significant injury, there isn’t a single career hitting mark (except probably Pete Rose’s 4,257 Hits) that is out of his grasp. We are potentially watching one of the greatest hitters of All-Time. As Barry Bonds begins to fade into the sunset over the next couple of seasons, I know who I am going to be watching.
Author’s Note: One day they may be the answer to a trivia question, but here are the eight players we ranked ahead of Pujols in our 2001 prospect rankings: Josh Beckett, Sean Burroughs, Josh Hamilton, Ryan Anderson, Corey Patterson, Jimmy Rollins, C.C. Sabathia, and Nick Johnson
Saturday, September 26, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations - The Best of the Best
It is rare that a player achieves the highest score in two leagues in the same season
Now that the 2009 Performance Evaluations are in the books, I thought we’d take a look at the story told by the collective efforts of evaluating 19 different leagues. First let me get the obligatory disclaimers out of the way. Our Performance Evaluations are not the same as prospect rankings. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these evaluations focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, how they performed in other leagues during the season or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order.
Some general comments about the evaluations…Approximately 260 players received positive scores, and 500 scored better than -0.40. Years ago we used to produce a top 300 prospect list and we have tried to scale our methodology in that direction. Of that 260, approximately 61% are hitters and 39% pitchers. Again this is an outgrowth of research that we have done that has historically shown that pitchers have more inherit risks (especially injury-wise) and therefore, in general, can’t have the same value as a position player prospect.
Listed below are the top forty hitting scores and the top thirty pitching scores. A couple of general notes: It was a strong year for hitters in the MWL, FSL, ESL, CAL and SOL, as each league placed five players on this list. The INT (5), SAL (4) and FSL (4) had strong pitching performances. At an individual level, Jason Heyward accomplished a rare feat by leading both the CAR and the SOL, but Jesus Montero barely missed the same thing, as he was runner-up to Mike Stanton in the FSL.
Top Hitters
Name , Org , POS ( LEAGUE ) - Total
1 ) Jason Heyward , ATL , RF ( SOL ) - 2.15
2 ) Mike Stanton , FLA , RF ( FSL ) - 1.94
3 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C ( FSL ) - 1.90
4 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C ( ESL ) - 1.86
5 ) Jason Heyward , ATL , RF ( CAR ) - 1.68
6 ) Ryan Westmoreland , BOS , OF ( NYP ) - 1.53
7 ) Nolan Reimold , BAL , OF ( INT ) - 1.41
8 ) Carlos Ramirez , LAA , C ( PIO ) - 1.40
9 ) Jaff Decker , SDP , LF ( MWL ) - 1.36
10 ) Josh Vitters , CHN , 3B ( MWL ) - 1.29
11 ) Ryan Kalish , BOS , RF ( CAR ) - 1.20
12 ) Travis Snider , TOR , LF ( PCL ) - 1.11
13 ) Desmond Jennings , TBR , CF ( INT ) - 1.10
14 ) Buster Posey , SFG , C ( CAL ) - 1.03
15 ) Oswaldo Arcia , MIN , RF ( GCL ) - 0.99
16 ) Caleb Gindl , MIL , RF ( FSL ) - 0.96
17 ) Ruben Tejada , NYM , SS ( ESL ) - 0.92
18 ) Edinson Rincon , SDP , 3B ( NWL ) - 0.90
19 ) Brandon Allen , ARZ , 1B ( PCL ) - 0.88
20 ) Gerardo Parra , ARZ , CF ( SOL ) - 0.86
21 ) Brett Jackson , CHN , CF ( MWL ) - 0.85
22 ) Brett Lawrie , MIL , 2B ( MWL ) - 0.85
23 ) Jake Fox , CHN , 1B ( PCL ) - 0.84
24 ) Domonic Brown , PHI , RF ( FSL ) - 0.83
25 ) Alex Liddi , SEA , 3B ( CAL ) - 0.83
26 ) Tyson Gillies , SEA , CF ( CAL ) - 0.83
27 ) Hak-Ju Lee , CHN , SS ( NWL ) - 0.80
28 ) Kyler Burke , CHN , RF ( MWL ) - 0.80
29 ) Michael Brantley , CLE , CF ( INT ) - 0.79
30 ) Eric Avila , PIT , 3B ( DSL ) - 0.78
31 ) Pedro Alvarez , PIT , 3B ( ESL ) - 0.76
32 ) Thomas Neal , SFG , LF ( CAL ) - 0.75
33 ) Derek Norris , WSN , C ( SAL ) - 0.75
34 ) Desmond Jennings , TBR , CF ( SOL ) - 0.74
35 ) Carlos Santana , CLE , C ( ESL ) - 0.74
36 ) Logan Morrison , FLA , 1B ( SOL ) - 0.74
37 ) Michael Taylor , PHI , LF ( ESL ) - 0.73
38 ) Matthew Sweeney , LAA , 3B ( CAL ) - 0.73
39 ) Matt Dominguez , FLA , 3B ( FSL ) - 0.72
40 ) Chris Heisey , CIN , CF ( SOL ) - 0.71
Top Pitchers
Name , ORG , POS ( LEAGUE ) - Total
1 ) Tommy Hanson , ATL , R ( INT ) - 1.38
2 ) Jeremy Hellickson , TBR , R ( INT ) - 1.35
3 ) Daniel Hudson , CHA , R ( SOL ) - 1.17
4 ) Kris Medlen , ATL , R ( INT ) - 0.97
5 ) Mat Latos , SDP , R ( TXL ) - 0.94
6 ) Juan Oramas , SDP , L ( MXL ) - 0.92
7 ) Kyle Drabek , PHI , R ( FSL ) - 0.91
8 ) Tim Collins , TOR , L ( FSL ) - 0.91
9 ) Jordan Lyles , HOU , R ( SAL ) - 0.85
10 ) Michael Montgomery , KCR , L ( CAR ) - 0.81
11 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R ( FSL ) - 0.80
12 ) Chris Tillman , BAL , R ( INT ) - 0.78
13 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R ( ESL ) - 0.75
14 ) David Hernandez , BAL , R ( INT ) - 0.72
15 ) Martin Perez , TEX , L ( SAL ) - 0.68
16 ) Jason Knapp , CLE , R ( SAL ) - 0.68
17 ) Hector Rondon , CLE , R ( ESL ) - 0.66
18 ) Michael Pineda , SEA , R ( CAL ) - 0.59
19 ) Jeffry Antigua , CHN , L ( NWL ) - 0.57
20 ) Brian Matusz , BAL , L ( ESL ) - 0.57
21 ) Arodys Vizcaino , NYY , R ( NYP ) - 0.56
22 ) Jarrod Parker , ARZ , R ( SOL ) - 0.55
23 ) Jay Jackson , CHN , R ( FSL ) - 0.55
24 ) Jeremy Hellickson , TBR , R ( SOL ) - 0.54
25 ) Henderson Alvarez , TOR , R ( MWL ) - 0.53
26 ) Matthew Moore , TBR , L ( SAL ) - 0.47
27 ) Chris Withrow , LAD , R ( CAL ) - 0.46
28 ) Andy Otero , ATL , L ( DSL ) - 0.44
29 ) Erasmo Ramirez , SEA , R ( VSL ) - 0.44
30 ) Gio Gonzalez , OAK , L ( PCL ) - 0.44
Friday, September 25, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – International League
Tommy Hanson’s International League showing was the best pitching performance in the Minors in 2009The International League is the final stop in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Hopefully you've found the examination informative. For us it's just the beginning, as the Performance Evaluations form the foundation for our prospect analysis, and allow us to move on from here as we produce all of our off-season prospect lists.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance Evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, performance prior to 2009 or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Nolan Reimold , BAL , OF - 1.41 … 79 … 38 … 80 … 59
2 ) Desmond Jennings , TBR , CF - 1.10 … 79 … 71 … 54 … 78
3 ) Michael Brantley , CLE , CF - 0.79 … 73 … 76 … 36 … 80
4 ) Fernando Martinez , NYM , RF - 0.67 … 26 … 54 … 77 … 40
5 ) Jose Tabata , PIT , CF - 0.45 … 54 … 71 … 50 … 47
6 ) Andrew McCutchen , PIT , CF - 0.45 … 59 … 74 … 51 … 69
7 ) Michael Taylor , PHI , LF - 0.32 … 59 … 59 … 73 … 45
8 ) Matt LaPorta , CLE , LF - 0.26 … 61 … 62 … 77 … 33
9 ) Matt Wieters , BAL , C - 0.25 … 73 … 44 … 69 … 32
10 ) Scott Sizemore , DET , 2B - 0.25 … 65 … 61 … 62 … 78
11 ) Andy Marte , CLE , 3B - 0.24 … 45 … 61 … 79 … 47
12 ) Neil Walker , PIT , 3B - 0.07 … 27 … 61 … 76 … 49
13 ) Ian Desmond , WSN , SS - (0.11) … 79 … 59 … 36 … 66
14 ) Matt Joyce , TBR , RF - (0.23) … 60 … 36 … 73 … 68
15 ) Jeff Fiorentino , BAL , RF - (0.23) … 72 … 60 … 69 … 62
16 ) Steve Pearce , PIT , 1B - (0.25) … 62 … 61 … 76 … 34
17 ) Jordan Brown , CLE , LF - (0.28) … 59 … 65 … 72 … 34
18 ) Justin Turner , BAL , 2B - (0.29) … 70 … 77 … 36 … 57
19 ) Chris Heisey , CIN , LF - (0.31) … 32 … 58 … 69 … 62
20 ) Kevin Russo , NYY , 2B - (0.31) … 79 … 65 … 39 … 59
21 ) Austin Jackson , NYY , CF - (0.31) … 70 … 33 … 33 … 80
22 ) Trevor Plouffe , MIN , SS - (0.39) … 41 … 64 … 50 … 35
23 ) Reid Brignac , TBR , SS - (0.47) … 43 … 61 … 49 … 42
24 ) Lou Marson , CLE , C - (0.52) … 74 … 53 … 32 … 48
25 ) Scott Moore , BAL , 3B - (0.58) … 26 … 57 … 78 … 38
26 ) Reegie Corona , NYY , 2B - (0.61) … 25 … 73 … 41 … 54
27 ) Garrett Jones , PIT , RF - (0.62) … 53 … 60 … 74 … 71
28 ) Trevor Crowe , CLE , RF - (0.64) … 79 … 61 … 37 … 63
29 ) Danny Valencia , MIN , 3B - (0.69) … 25 … 70 … 64 … 31
30 ) David Winfree , MIN , RF - (0.69) … 31 … 46 … 67 … 31
Note: Juan Francisco did not accumulate enough ABs to qualify
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Tommy Hanson , ATL , R - 1.38 … 54 … 66 … 80 … 72
2 ) Jeremy Hellickson , TBR , R - 1.35 … 58 … 65 … 80 … 74
3 ) Kris Medlen , ATL , R - 0.97 … 79 … 64 … 79 … 60
4 ) Chris Tillman , BAL , R - 0.78 … 66 … 64 … 73 … 67
5 ) David Hernandez , BAL , R - 0.72 … 46 … 56 … 80 … 65
6 ) Hector Rondon , CLE , R - 0.34 … 37 … 75 … 59 … 73
7 ) Carlos Carrasco , CLE , R - 0.24 … 36 … 61 … 67 … 72
8 ) Jon Niese , NYM , L - 0.15 … 55 … 62 … 60 … 71
9 ) Luke French , DET , L - 0.14 … 55 … 67 … 64 … 74
10 ) Ian Snell , PIT , R - 0.13 … 79 … 49 … 79 … 73
11 ) Homer Bailey , CIN , R - 0.05 … 35 … 58 … 64 … 74
12 ) Clay Buchholz , BOS , R - (0.17) … 57 … 58 … 68 … 71
13 ) Wade Davis , TBR , R - (0.20) … 48 … 44 … 62 … 70
14 ) Travis Wood , CIN , L - (0.23) … 51 … 53 … 41 … 73
15 ) Ross Detwiler , WSN , L - (0.23) … 70 … 39 … 54 … 63
16 ) Dillon Gee , NYM , R - (0.26) … 39 … 53 … 58 … 67
17 ) Matt Maloney , CIN , L - (0.27) … 54 … 75 … 62 … 75
18 ) Charlie Morton , PIT , R - (0.29) … 70 … 68 … 64 … 75
19 ) Yohan Pino , CLE , R - (0.31) … 54 … 73 … 68 … 75
20 ) Jake Arrieta , BAL , R - (0.38) … 40 … 47 … 54 … 67
21 ) Michael Bowden , BOS , R - (0.45) … 47 … 45 … 45 … 66
22 ) Tyler Clippard , WSN , R - (0.45) … 66 … 42 … 78 … 27
23 ) Collin Balester , WSN , R - (0.45) … 68 … 50 … 36 … 67
24 ) Kevin Mulvey , MIN , R - (0.46) … 52 … 47 … 47 … 73
25 ) Anthony Swarzak , MIN , R - (0.49) … 67 … 64 … 33 … 73
Note: Ian Kennedy, Phil Hughes, Daniel Hudson and Matt Klinker didn’t have enough innings to qualify.
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next Up: Sunday, September 27, 2009 – Performance Evaluation Summary
Thursday, September 24, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Pacific Coast League
Travis Snider righted the ship with a return to the PCLWe are almost finished and the Pacific Coast League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Travis Snider , TOR , LF - 1.11 … 67 … 27 … 80 … 35
2 ) Brandon Allen , ARZ , 1B - 0.88 … 59 … 58 … 80 … 62
3 ) Jake Fox , CHN , 1B - 0.84 … 69 … 52 … 80 … 38
4 ) Michael Saunders , SEA , LF - 0.41 … 54 … 50 … 75 … 49
5 ) Carlos Gonzalez , COL , CF - 0.31 … 52 … 60 … 74 … 49
6 ) Gaby Sanchez , FLA , 1B - 0.30 … 77 … 68 … 74 … 56
7 ) Buster Posey , SFG , C - 0.27 … 73 … 57 … 64 … 31
8 ) John Bowker , SFG , RF - 0.23 … 79 … 57 … 77 … 52
9 ) Tommy Everidge , OAK , 1B - 0.17 … 76 … 59 … 79 … 31
10 ) Cameron Maybin , FLA , CF - 0.08 … 79 … 50 … 42 … 59
11 ) Alcides Escobar , MIL , SS - 0.06 … 59 … 65 … 33 … 80
12 ) Daric Barton , OAK , 1B - 0.01 … 60 … 59 … 70 … 36
13 ) Julio Borbon , TEX , CF - (0.07) … 74 … 76 … 25 … 77
14 ) Chris Davis , TEX , 3B - (0.08) … 76 … 35 … 66 … 30
15 ) Sean Rodriguez , LAA , 2B - (0.10) … 49 … 21 … 79 … 63
16 ) Aaron Cunningham , OAK , LF - (0.11) … 59 … 40 … 64 … 62
17 ) Kyle Blanks , SDP , 1B - (0.17) … 75 … 27 … 71 … 31
18 ) Allen Craig , STL , LF - (0.20) … 57 … 47 … 75 … 45
19 ) Sean Doolittle , OAK , RF - (0.29) … 64 … 41 … 63 … 31
20 ) Brandon Wood , LAA , 3B - (0.29) … 31 … 45 … 77 … 34
21 ) Eric Young , COL , 2B - (0.31) … 67 … 60 … 34 … 80
22 ) Brett Wallace , OAK , 3B - (0.31) … 55 … 47 … 62 … 32
23 ) Chris Pettit , LAA , LF - (0.32) … 53 … 60 … 51 … 79
24 ) Jarrett Hoffpauir , STL , 2B - (0.33) … 50 … 78 … 67 … 46
25 ) Tony Abreu , LAD , 2B - (0.34) … 33 … 59 … 73 … 42
26 ) Jon Jay , STL , LF - (0.41) … 53 … 71 … 40 … 69
27 ) Daniel Descalso , STL , 2B - (0.49) … 69 … 68 … 29 … 46
28 ) Josh Wilson , SEA , SS - (0.51) … 41 … 69 … 40 … 39
29 ) Chad Huffman , SDP , LF - (0.52) … 48 … 33 … 70 … 49
30 ) Mike Carp , SEA , 1B - (0.53) … 61 … 34 … 62 … 30
Note: Chris Coghlan did not accumulate enough ABs to qualify
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Gio Gonzalez , OAK , L - 0.44 … 54 … 26 … 78 … 67
2 ) Neftali Feliz , TEX , R - 0.42 … 75 … 48 … 71 … 44
3 ) Scott Elbert , LAD , L - 0.33 … 68 … 43 … 77 … 58
4 ) Vin Mazzaro , OAK , R - 0.28 … 73 … 63 … 55 … 72
5 ) Bud Norris , HOU , R - 0.20 … 69 … 39 … 68 … 75
6 ) Henry Rodriguez , OAK , R - 0.18 … 49 … 20 … 80 … 26
7 ) Jess Todd , STL , R - 0.09 … 65 … 67 … 80 … 26
8 ) Rick VandenHurk , FLA , R - 0.05 … 66 … 67 … 65 … 70
9 ) P.J. Walters , STL , R - 0.05 … 69 … 52 … 64 … 72
10 ) Bryan Augenstein , ARZ , R - (0.02) … 68 … 74 … 55 … 61
11 ) Jose Ascanio , CHN , R - (0.07) … 76 … 54 … 65 … 59
12 ) Guillermo Moscoso , TEX , R - (0.11) … 75 … 73 … 66 … 73
13 ) Franklin Morales , COL , L - (0.11) … 51 … 36 … 63 … 68
14 ) Brad Mills , TOR , L - (0.13) … 62 … 43 … 59 … 74
15 ) Josh Lindblom , LAD , R - (0.15) … 62 … 61 … 70 … 32
16 ) Trevor Bell , LAA , R - (0.19) … 62 … 73 … 30 … 76
17 ) Tommy Hunter , TEX , R - (0.21) … 46 … 59 … 42 … 75
18 ) Kyle Davies , KCR , R - (0.25) … 64 … 62 … 69 … 73
19 ) Brett Cecil , TOR , L - (0.28) … 72 … 48 … 36 … 70
20 ) Billy Buckner , ARZ , R - (0.29) … 70 … 40 … 69 … 72
21 ) Sean O'Sullivan , LAA , R - (0.33) … 35 … 64 … 42 … 66
22 ) Adam Ottavino , STL , R - (0.40) … 54 … 25 … 51 … 69
23 ) James Simmons , OAK , R - (0.41) … 62 … 47 … 36 … 68
24 ) Luke Hochevar , KCR , R - (0.44) … 72 … 69 … 54 … 74
25 ) Gaby Hernandez , SEA , R - (0.49) … 42 … 58 … 38 … 72
Note: James McDonald, Jaime Garcia and Sean Gallagher didn’t have enough innings to qualify.
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Friday, September 25, 2009: The International League
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Eastern League
Montero leaves little doubt that he can hit
The Eastern League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C - 1.86 … 60 … 74 … 79 … 31
2 ) Ruben Tejada , NYM , SS - 0.92 … 59 … 75 … 35 … 80
3 ) Pedro Alvarez , PIT , 3B - 0.76 … 72 … 30 … 80 … 38
4 ) Carlos Santana , CLE , C - 0.74 … 74 … 54 … 79 … 38
5 ) Michael Taylor , PHI , LF - 0.73 … 64 … 66 … 77 … 79
6 ) Brandon Snyder , BAL , 1B - 0.58 … 69 … 43 … 79 … 30
7 ) Josh Bell , BAL , 3B - 0.50 … 43 … 36 … 80 … 31
8 ) Eduardo Nunez , NYY , SS - 0.45 … 65 … 74 … 47 … 77
9 ) Ryan Kalish , BOS , LF - 0.40 … 52 … 44 … 64 … 78
10 ) Nick Weglarz , CLE , LF - 0.37 … 66 … 41 … 75 … 36
11 ) Jose Tabata , PIT , CF - 0.35 … 65 … 76 … 39 … 50
12 ) Ike Davis , NYM , 1B - 0.22 … 58 … 25 … 80 … 31
13 ) Reegie Corona , NYY , 2B - 0.18 … 78 … 65 … 43 … 73
14 ) Josh Reddick , BOS , CF - 0.15 … 42 … 37 … 78 … 45
15 ) Josh Thole , NYM , C - 0.11 … 75 … 78 … 35 … 59
16 ) Ryan Strieby , DET , 1B - 0.07 … 73 … 29 … 79 … 45
17 ) Wilson Ramos , MIN , C - 0.03 … 39 … 76 … 57 … 32
18 ) Brad Emaus , TOR , 2B - (0.19) … 54 … 72 … 49 … 71
19 ) Alex Avila , DET , C - (0.23) … 57 … 40 … 70 … 41
20 ) Carlos Rivero , CLE , SS - (0.24) … 48 … 68 … 40 … 37
21 ) Domonic Brown , PHI , RF - (0.27) … 43 … 34 … 55 … 74
22 ) Scott Sizemore , DET , 2B - (0.29) … 64 … 51 … 74 … 60
23 ) Ian Desmond , WSN , SS - (0.31) … 54 … 39 … 71 … 76
24 ) Juan Portes , MIN , RF - (0.31) … 63 … 72 … 51 … 60
25 ) Rene Tosoni , MIN , RF - (0.45) … 46 … 41 … 69 … 48
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C - 1.86 … 60 … 74 … 79 … 31
2 ) Ruben Tejada , NYM , SS - 0.92 … 59 … 75 … 35 … 80
3 ) Pedro Alvarez , PIT , 3B - 0.76 … 72 … 30 … 80 … 38
4 ) Carlos Santana , CLE , C - 0.74 … 74 … 54 … 79 … 38
5 ) Michael Taylor , PHI , LF - 0.73 … 64 … 66 … 77 … 79
6 ) Brandon Snyder , BAL , 1B - 0.58 … 69 … 43 … 79 … 30
7 ) Josh Bell , BAL , 3B - 0.50 … 43 … 36 … 80 … 31
8 ) Eduardo Nunez , NYY , SS - 0.45 … 65 … 74 … 47 … 77
9 ) Ryan Kalish , BOS , LF - 0.40 … 52 … 44 … 64 … 78
10 ) Nick Weglarz , CLE , LF - 0.37 … 66 … 41 … 75 … 36
11 ) Jose Tabata , PIT , CF - 0.35 … 65 … 76 … 39 … 50
12 ) Ike Davis , NYM , 1B - 0.22 … 58 … 25 … 80 … 31
13 ) Reegie Corona , NYY , 2B - 0.18 … 78 … 65 … 43 … 73
14 ) Josh Reddick , BOS , CF - 0.15 … 42 … 37 … 78 … 45
15 ) Josh Thole , NYM , C - 0.11 … 75 … 78 … 35 … 59
16 ) Ryan Strieby , DET , 1B - 0.07 … 73 … 29 … 79 … 45
17 ) Wilson Ramos , MIN , C - 0.03 … 39 … 76 … 57 … 32
18 ) Brad Emaus , TOR , 2B - (0.19) … 54 … 72 … 49 … 71
19 ) Alex Avila , DET , C - (0.23) … 57 … 40 … 70 … 41
20 ) Carlos Rivero , CLE , SS - (0.24) … 48 … 68 … 40 … 37
21 ) Domonic Brown , PHI , RF - (0.27) … 43 … 34 … 55 … 74
22 ) Scott Sizemore , DET , 2B - (0.29) … 64 … 51 … 74 … 60
23 ) Ian Desmond , WSN , SS - (0.31) … 54 … 39 … 71 … 76
24 ) Juan Portes , MIN , RF - (0.31) … 63 … 72 … 51 … 60
25 ) Rene Tosoni , MIN , RF - (0.45) … 46 … 41 … 69 … 48
Note: Lonnie Chisenhall did not accumulate enough ABs to qualify
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.75 … 65 … 28 … 69 … 59
2 ) Hector Rondon , CLE , R - 0.66 … 67 … 74 … 73 … 64
3 ) Brian Matusz , BAL , L - 0.57 … 66 … 72 … 74 … 73
4 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - 0.37 … 55 … 69 … 49 … 68
5 ) Madison Bumgarner , SFG , L - 0.31 … 58 … 67 … 39 … 69
6 ) Zach McAllister , NYY , R - 0.22 … 69 … 68 … 53 … 70
7 ) Jake Arrieta , BAL , R - 0.21 … 53 … 48 … 78 … 69
8 ) Steve Johnson , BAL , R - 0.19 … 46 … 38 … 70 … 70
9 ) Jeanmar Gomez , CLE , R - 0.15 … 41 … 61 … 60 … 71
10 ) Kyle Drabek , PHI , R - 0.07 … 39 … 61 … 51 … 76
11 ) Brandon Erbe , BAL , R - (0.00) … 52 … 33 … 59 … 68
12 ) Antonio Bastardo , PHI , L - (0.00) … 72 … 76 … 79 … 44
13 ) Marc Rzepczynski , TOR , L - (0.05) … 76 … 35 … 74 … 70
14 ) Eric Berger , CLE , L - (0.11) … 71 … 34 … 66 … 71
15 ) Tim Alderson , PIT , R - (0.18) … 46 … 72 … 31 … 71
16 ) Junichi Tazawa , BOS , R - (0.24) … 45 … 69 … 65 … 70
17 ) Felix Doubront , BOS , L - (0.29) … 54 … 41 … 51 … 62
18 ) Aaron Thompson , WSN , L - (0.34) … 40 … 58 … 54 … 70
19 ) Bradley Meyers , WSN , R - (0.35) … 67 … 73 … 65 … 69
20 ) Zach Putnam , CLE , R - (0.43) … 69 … 62 … 69 … 28
21 ) Chuck Lofgren , CLE , L - (0.46) … 73 … 56 … 51 … 69
22 ) Alex Burnett , MIN , R - (0.48) … 69 … 57 … 70 … 26
23 ) Ivan Nova , NYY , R - (0.48) … 66 … 41 … 35 … 74
24 ) Brad Lincoln , PIT , R - (0.51) … 61 … 72 … 62 … 72
25 ) Jeremy Bleich , NYY , L - (0.55) … 37 … 28 … 51 … 66
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.75 … 65 … 28 … 69 … 59
2 ) Hector Rondon , CLE , R - 0.66 … 67 … 74 … 73 … 64
3 ) Brian Matusz , BAL , L - 0.57 … 66 … 72 … 74 … 73
4 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - 0.37 … 55 … 69 … 49 … 68
5 ) Madison Bumgarner , SFG , L - 0.31 … 58 … 67 … 39 … 69
6 ) Zach McAllister , NYY , R - 0.22 … 69 … 68 … 53 … 70
7 ) Jake Arrieta , BAL , R - 0.21 … 53 … 48 … 78 … 69
8 ) Steve Johnson , BAL , R - 0.19 … 46 … 38 … 70 … 70
9 ) Jeanmar Gomez , CLE , R - 0.15 … 41 … 61 … 60 … 71
10 ) Kyle Drabek , PHI , R - 0.07 … 39 … 61 … 51 … 76
11 ) Brandon Erbe , BAL , R - (0.00) … 52 … 33 … 59 … 68
12 ) Antonio Bastardo , PHI , L - (0.00) … 72 … 76 … 79 … 44
13 ) Marc Rzepczynski , TOR , L - (0.05) … 76 … 35 … 74 … 70
14 ) Eric Berger , CLE , L - (0.11) … 71 … 34 … 66 … 71
15 ) Tim Alderson , PIT , R - (0.18) … 46 … 72 … 31 … 71
16 ) Junichi Tazawa , BOS , R - (0.24) … 45 … 69 … 65 … 70
17 ) Felix Doubront , BOS , L - (0.29) … 54 … 41 … 51 … 62
18 ) Aaron Thompson , WSN , L - (0.34) … 40 … 58 … 54 … 70
19 ) Bradley Meyers , WSN , R - (0.35) … 67 … 73 … 65 … 69
20 ) Zach Putnam , CLE , R - (0.43) … 69 … 62 … 69 … 28
21 ) Chuck Lofgren , CLE , L - (0.46) … 73 … 56 … 51 … 69
22 ) Alex Burnett , MIN , R - (0.48) … 69 … 57 … 70 … 26
23 ) Ivan Nova , NYY , R - (0.48) … 66 … 41 … 35 … 74
24 ) Brad Lincoln , PIT , R - (0.51) … 61 … 72 … 62 … 72
25 ) Jeremy Bleich , NYY , L - (0.55) … 37 … 28 … 51 … 66
Note: Fabio Castro, George Kontos and Ross Detweiler didn’t have enough innings to qualify.
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Thursday, September 24, 2009: The Pacific Coast League
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Southern League
Heyward’s 2009 SOL Performance was of historic levels The Southern League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jason Heyward , ATL , RF - 2.15 … 76 … 74 … 79 … 56
2 ) Gerardo Parra , ARZ , CF - 0.86 … 80 … 73 … 50 … 53
3 ) Desmond Jennings , TBR , CF - 0.74 … 67 … 70 … 58 … 80
4 ) Logan Morrison , FLA , 1B - 0.74 … 77 … 62 … 67 … 60
5 ) Chris Heisey , CIN , CF - 0.71 … 73 … 72 … 78 … 79
6 ) Starlin Castro , CHN , SS - 0.44 … 56 … 75 … 29 … 67
7 ) Sean Coughlin , ARZ , 1B - 0.34 … 79 … 74 … 73 … 31
8 ) Juan Francisco , CIN , 3B - 0.28 … 27 … 47 … 78 … 56
9 ) Yonder Alonso , CIN , DH - 0.20 … 56 … 69 … 67 … 37
10 ) Gordon Beckham , CHA , SS - 0.17 … 38 … 63 … 76 … 37
11 ) Tyler Flowers , CHA , C - 0.16 … 77 … 23 … 79 … 48
12 ) Mike Stanton , FLA , RF - 0.10 … 29 … 21 … 79 … 35
13 ) Dayan Viciedo , CHA , 3B - 0.07 … 46 … 59 … 50 … 50
14 ) Christian Marrero , CHA , 1B - 0.06 … 44 … 44 … 78 … 34
15 ) Freddie Freeman , ATL , 1B - 0.03 … 41 … 72 … 41 … 31
16 ) Josh Bell , LAD , 3B - (0.04) … 58 … 47 … 74 … 35
17 ) Ezequiel Carrera , SEA , CF - (0.06) … 80 … 55 … 29 … 73
18 ) Todd Frazier , CIN , LF - (0.07) … 40 … 67 … 73 … 42
19 ) Andrew Lambo , LAD , LF - (0.19) … 30 … 53 … 61 … 43
20 ) Jonathan Lucroy , MIL , C - (0.22) … 69 … 65 … 61 … 34
21 ) John Shelby III , CHA , CF - (0.27) … 37 … 58 … 64 … 79
22 ) Tyler Colvin , CHN , RF - (0.32) … 34 … 56 … 75 … 56
23 ) Sean Henry , CIN , RF - (0.33) … 51 … 65 … 57 … 76
24 ) Willie Cabrera , ATL , LF - (0.42) … 53 … 70 … 52 … 33
25 ) Taylor Green , MIL , 3B - (0.50) … 57 … 73 … 42 … 29
Note: Matt Dominguez did not accumulate enough ABs to qualify
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Daniel Hudson , CHA , R - 1.17 … 74 … 75 … 79 … 75
2 ) Jarrod Parker , ARZ , R - 0.55 … 72 … 45 … 62 … 65
3 ) Jeremy Hellickson , TBR , R - 0.54 … 49 … 70 … 78 … 68
4 ) Travis Wood , CIN , L - 0.43 … 75 … 63 … 66 … 75
5 ) Aaron Poreda , CHA , L - 0.40 … 75 … 31 … 74 … 73
6 ) Jose Ortegano , ATL , L - 0.24 … 65 … 63 … 61 … 74
7 ) Scott Elbert , LAD , L - 0.23 … 45 … 39 … 80 … 68
8 ) Bryan Augenstein , ARZ , R - 0.11 … 78 … 75 … 64 … 67
9 ) Zachary Stewart , CIN , R - (0.02) … 72 … 68 … 61 … 69
10 ) Jay Jackson , CHN , R - (0.06) … 41 … 40 … 65 … 68
11 ) Dan Cortes , SEA , R - (0.15) … 48 … 24 … 67 … 70
12 ) Scott Diamond , ATL , L - (0.39) … 67 … 50 … 51 … 72
13 ) John Ely , CHA , R - (0.43) … 56 … 62 … 53 … 73
14 ) Josh Lindblom , LAD , R - (0.45) … 51 … 70 … 53 … 56
15 ) Edgar Osuna , ATL , L - (0.45) … 37 … 68 … 35 … 74
16 ) Aneury Rodriguez , TBR , R - (0.49) … 26 … 48 … 49 … 69
17 ) Andrew Cashner , CHN , R - (0.49) … 78 … 41 … 42 … 65
18 ) Kyle Winters , FLA , R - (0.52) … 71 … 55 … 36 … 66
19 ) Wes Roemer , ARZ , R - (0.59) … 35 … 62 … 43 … 75
20 ) Aaron Thompson , FLA , L - (0.64) … 54 … 54 … 34 … 72
Note: Chris Withrow, Daniel Sclereth, Hector Ambriz and Jeremy Jeffress didn’t have enough innings to qualify
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Wednesday, September 23, 2009: The Eastern League
Monday, September 21, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Texas League
Latos’ 9-game performance was easily the TXL’s best
The Texas League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Chris Carter , OAK , 1B - 0.45 … 72 … 29 … 79 … 66
2 ) Hank Conger , LAA , C - 0.21 … 72 … 65 … 54 … 43
3 ) Justin Smoak , TEX , 1B - 0.19 … 80 … 48 … 66 … 30
4 ) David Lough , KCR , RF - 0.18 … 47 … 72 … 71 … 71
5 ) Jordan Parraz , KCR , RF - 0.03 … 75 … 75 … 71 … 34
6 ) Daniel Descalso , STL , 2B - (0.03) … 49 … 67 … 71 … 30
7 ) Adrian Cardenas , OAK , 2B - (0.04) … 69 … 69 … 45 … 43
8 ) Cedric Hunter , SDP , CF - (0.07) … 39 … 78 … 28 … 73
9 ) Tim Smith , TEX , LF - (0.08) … 66 … 64 … 57 … 68
10 ) Eric Sogard , SDP , 2B - (0.10) … 72 … 76 … 43 … 54
11 ) Peter Bourjos , LAA , CF - (0.28) … 62 … 55 … 41 … 77
12 ) Darin Holcomb , COL , 3B - (0.34) … 52 … 76 … 58 … 42
13 ) Chad Tracy , TEX , 1B - (0.36) … 35 … 48 … 77 … 48
14 ) Shane Peterson , OAK , CF - (0.37) … 39 … 51 … 49 … 64
15 ) Tyler Henley , STL , RF - (0.42) … 46 … 64 … 69 … 57
16 ) Jason Castro , HOU , C - (0.44) … 69 … 66 … 38 … 38
17 ) Mitchell Moreland , TEX , RF - (0.45) … 58 … 68 … 63 … 33
18 ) Luis Durango , SDP , LF - (0.52) … 80 … 64 … 23 … 78
19 ) Mike Baxter , SDP , RF - (0.58) … 74 … 41 … 72 … 49
20 ) Hainley Statia , LAA , SS - (0.58) … 43 … 78 … 32 … 73
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Chris Carter , OAK , 1B - 0.45 … 72 … 29 … 79 … 66
2 ) Hank Conger , LAA , C - 0.21 … 72 … 65 … 54 … 43
3 ) Justin Smoak , TEX , 1B - 0.19 … 80 … 48 … 66 … 30
4 ) David Lough , KCR , RF - 0.18 … 47 … 72 … 71 … 71
5 ) Jordan Parraz , KCR , RF - 0.03 … 75 … 75 … 71 … 34
6 ) Daniel Descalso , STL , 2B - (0.03) … 49 … 67 … 71 … 30
7 ) Adrian Cardenas , OAK , 2B - (0.04) … 69 … 69 … 45 … 43
8 ) Cedric Hunter , SDP , CF - (0.07) … 39 … 78 … 28 … 73
9 ) Tim Smith , TEX , LF - (0.08) … 66 … 64 … 57 … 68
10 ) Eric Sogard , SDP , 2B - (0.10) … 72 … 76 … 43 … 54
11 ) Peter Bourjos , LAA , CF - (0.28) … 62 … 55 … 41 … 77
12 ) Darin Holcomb , COL , 3B - (0.34) … 52 … 76 … 58 … 42
13 ) Chad Tracy , TEX , 1B - (0.36) … 35 … 48 … 77 … 48
14 ) Shane Peterson , OAK , CF - (0.37) … 39 … 51 … 49 … 64
15 ) Tyler Henley , STL , RF - (0.42) … 46 … 64 … 69 … 57
16 ) Jason Castro , HOU , C - (0.44) … 69 … 66 … 38 … 38
17 ) Mitchell Moreland , TEX , RF - (0.45) … 58 … 68 … 63 … 33
18 ) Luis Durango , SDP , LF - (0.52) … 80 … 64 … 23 … 78
19 ) Mike Baxter , SDP , RF - (0.58) … 74 … 41 … 72 … 49
20 ) Hainley Statia , LAA , SS - (0.58) … 43 … 78 … 32 … 73
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Mat Latos , SDP , R - 0.94 … 78 … 74 … 77 … 67
2 ) Trevor Reckling , LAA , L - 0.42 … 72 … 30 … 53 … 72
3 ) Trevor Bell , LAA , R - 0.04 … 76 … 65 … 56 … 74
4 ) Esmil Rogers , COL , R - 0.04 … 75 … 74 … 68 … 75
5 ) Jhoulys Chacin , COL , R - 0.01 … 38 … 59 … 63 … 71
6 ) Kasey Kiker , TEX , L - (0.02) … 51 … 33 … 68 … 65
7 ) Jordan Walden , LAA , R - (0.07) … 53 … 38 … 64 … 61
8 ) Lance Lynn , STL , R - (0.09) … 69 … 49 … 55 … 71
9 ) Eduardo Sanchez , STL , R - (0.09) … 48 … 50 … 79 … 26
10 ) Tommy Mendoza , LAA , R - (0.21) … 46 … 70 … 45 … 75
11 ) Will Inman , SDP , R - (0.30) … 59 … 71 … 48 … 72
12 ) Blake Beavan , TEX , R - (0.34) … 66 … 77 … 23 … 73
13 ) Arnold Leon , OAK , R - (0.41) … 69 … 53 … 62 … 34
14 ) Tyler Herron , STL , R - (0.51) … 67 … 38 … 55 … 66
15 ) Tyson Ross , OAK , R - (0.52) … 60 … 50 … 41 … 70
16 ) Chaz Roe , COL , R - (0.55) … 59 … 55 … 44 … 72
17 ) Dan Cortes , KCR , R - (0.63) … 69 … 25 … 43 … 65
18 ) Omar Poveda , TEX , R - (0.65) … 44 … 55 … 33 … 72
19 ) Nicholas Additon , STL , L - (0.67) … 35 … 44 … 34 … 73
20 ) Tommy Hunter , TEX , R - (0.71) … 65 … 75 … 47 … 58
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Mat Latos , SDP , R - 0.94 … 78 … 74 … 77 … 67
2 ) Trevor Reckling , LAA , L - 0.42 … 72 … 30 … 53 … 72
3 ) Trevor Bell , LAA , R - 0.04 … 76 … 65 … 56 … 74
4 ) Esmil Rogers , COL , R - 0.04 … 75 … 74 … 68 … 75
5 ) Jhoulys Chacin , COL , R - 0.01 … 38 … 59 … 63 … 71
6 ) Kasey Kiker , TEX , L - (0.02) … 51 … 33 … 68 … 65
7 ) Jordan Walden , LAA , R - (0.07) … 53 … 38 … 64 … 61
8 ) Lance Lynn , STL , R - (0.09) … 69 … 49 … 55 … 71
9 ) Eduardo Sanchez , STL , R - (0.09) … 48 … 50 … 79 … 26
10 ) Tommy Mendoza , LAA , R - (0.21) … 46 … 70 … 45 … 75
11 ) Will Inman , SDP , R - (0.30) … 59 … 71 … 48 … 72
12 ) Blake Beavan , TEX , R - (0.34) … 66 … 77 … 23 … 73
13 ) Arnold Leon , OAK , R - (0.41) … 69 … 53 … 62 … 34
14 ) Tyler Herron , STL , R - (0.51) … 67 … 38 … 55 … 66
15 ) Tyson Ross , OAK , R - (0.52) … 60 … 50 … 41 … 70
16 ) Chaz Roe , COL , R - (0.55) … 59 … 55 … 44 … 72
17 ) Dan Cortes , KCR , R - (0.63) … 69 … 25 … 43 … 65
18 ) Omar Poveda , TEX , R - (0.65) … 44 … 55 … 33 … 72
19 ) Nicholas Additon , STL , L - (0.67) … 35 … 44 … 34 … 73
20 ) Tommy Hunter , TEX , R - (0.71) … 65 … 75 … 47 … 58
Note: Alex Torres and Martin Perez didn’t have enough innings to qualify
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Tuesday, September 22, 2009: The Southern League
Friday, September 18, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Carolina League
It wasn’t just the Southern League where Jason Heyward made his mark this season
The Carolina League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jason Heyward , ATL , RF - 1.68 … 59 … 69 … 79 … 54
2 ) Ryan Kalish , BOS , RF - 1.20 … 80 … 65 … 73 … 56
3 ) Freddie Freeman , ATL , 1B - 0.69 … 67 … 69 … 62 … 31
4 ) Matt McBride , CLE , 1B - 0.56 … 74 … 77 … 80 … 31
5 ) Lonnie Chisenhall , CLE , 3B - 0.54 … 41 … 53 … 78 … 39
6 ) Che-Hsuan Lin , BOS , CF - 0.37 … 74 … 70 … 40 … 74
7 ) Anthony Rizzo , BOS , 1B - 0.36 … 71 … 58 … 53 … 42
8 ) Brent Morel , CHA , 3B - 0.30 … 40 … 74 … 68 … 76
9 ) Johnny Giavotella , KCR , 2B - 0.29 … 71 … 77 … 42 … 77
10 ) Mike Moustakas , KCR , 3B - 0.23 … 29 … 62 … 71 … 55
11 ) Cody Johnson , ATL , LF - 0.04 … 45 … 20 … 80 … 52
12 ) Chris Marrero , WSN , 1B - (0.02) … 61 … 42 … 70 … 34
13 ) Chase d'Arnaud , PIT , SS - (0.13) … 65 … 58 … 65 … 71
14 ) Danny Espinosa , WSN , SS - (0.15) … 62 … 30 … 73 … 77
15 ) Michael Burgess , WSN , RF - (0.26) … 40 … 28 … 70 … 55
16 ) Chih-Hsien Chiang , BOS , DH - (0.29) … 37 … 69 … 57 … 39
17 ) Pedro Alvarez , PIT , 3B - (0.38) … 49 … 27 … 79 … 34
18 ) Jesus Sucre , ATL , C - (0.40) … 33 … 67 … 52 … 44
19 ) Derrick Robinson , KCR , CF - (0.43) … 46 … 65 … 33 … 80
20 ) Tim Federowicz , BOS , C - (0.50) … 23 … 77 … 57 … 37
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jason Heyward , ATL , RF - 1.68 … 59 … 69 … 79 … 54
2 ) Ryan Kalish , BOS , RF - 1.20 … 80 … 65 … 73 … 56
3 ) Freddie Freeman , ATL , 1B - 0.69 … 67 … 69 … 62 … 31
4 ) Matt McBride , CLE , 1B - 0.56 … 74 … 77 … 80 … 31
5 ) Lonnie Chisenhall , CLE , 3B - 0.54 … 41 … 53 … 78 … 39
6 ) Che-Hsuan Lin , BOS , CF - 0.37 … 74 … 70 … 40 … 74
7 ) Anthony Rizzo , BOS , 1B - 0.36 … 71 … 58 … 53 … 42
8 ) Brent Morel , CHA , 3B - 0.30 … 40 … 74 … 68 … 76
9 ) Johnny Giavotella , KCR , 2B - 0.29 … 71 … 77 … 42 … 77
10 ) Mike Moustakas , KCR , 3B - 0.23 … 29 … 62 … 71 … 55
11 ) Cody Johnson , ATL , LF - 0.04 … 45 … 20 … 80 … 52
12 ) Chris Marrero , WSN , 1B - (0.02) … 61 … 42 … 70 … 34
13 ) Chase d'Arnaud , PIT , SS - (0.13) … 65 … 58 … 65 … 71
14 ) Danny Espinosa , WSN , SS - (0.15) … 62 … 30 … 73 … 77
15 ) Michael Burgess , WSN , RF - (0.26) … 40 … 28 … 70 … 55
16 ) Chih-Hsien Chiang , BOS , DH - (0.29) … 37 … 69 … 57 … 39
17 ) Pedro Alvarez , PIT , 3B - (0.38) … 49 … 27 … 79 … 34
18 ) Jesus Sucre , ATL , C - (0.40) … 33 … 67 … 52 … 44
19 ) Derrick Robinson , KCR , CF - (0.43) … 46 … 65 … 33 … 80
20 ) Tim Federowicz , BOS , C - (0.50) … 23 … 77 … 57 … 37
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Michael Montgomery , KCR , L - 0.81 … 78 … 66 … 61 … 73
2 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - 0.35 … 46 … 74 … 51 … 73
3 ) Danny Duffy , KCR , L - 0.35 … 65 … 54 … 66 … 69
4 ) Alexander Perez , CLE , R - 0.30 … 71 … 59 … 64 … 52
5 ) Brian Matusz , BAL , L - 0.07 … 53 … 55 … 75 … 75
6 ) Daniel Hudson , CHA , R - 0.06 … 57 … 59 … 75 … 72
7 ) Zachary Britton , BAL , L - (0.08) … 68 … 43 … 60 … 72
8 ) Craig Kimbrel , ATL , R - (0.26) … 51 … 20 … 80 … 25
9 ) Michael Dubee , PIT , R - (0.31) … 73 … 77 … 80 … 26
10 ) Edgar Osuna , ATL , L - (0.50) … 62 … 70 … 43 … 68
11 ) Danny Gutierrez , KCR , R - (0.51) … 78 … 63 … 66 … 45
12 ) Jeff Locke , PIT , L - (0.66) … 69 … 51 … 41 … 63
13 ) Benino Pruneda , ATL , R - (0.68) … 60 … 22 … 72 … 25
14 ) Jose Ortegano , ATL , L - (0.80) … 61 … 61 … 55 … 44
15 ) Paolo Espino , CLE , R - (0.81) … 50 … 59 … 56 … 70
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Michael Montgomery , KCR , L - 0.81 … 78 … 66 … 61 … 73
2 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - 0.35 … 46 … 74 … 51 … 73
3 ) Danny Duffy , KCR , L - 0.35 … 65 … 54 … 66 … 69
4 ) Alexander Perez , CLE , R - 0.30 … 71 … 59 … 64 … 52
5 ) Brian Matusz , BAL , L - 0.07 … 53 … 55 … 75 … 75
6 ) Daniel Hudson , CHA , R - 0.06 … 57 … 59 … 75 … 72
7 ) Zachary Britton , BAL , L - (0.08) … 68 … 43 … 60 … 72
8 ) Craig Kimbrel , ATL , R - (0.26) … 51 … 20 … 80 … 25
9 ) Michael Dubee , PIT , R - (0.31) … 73 … 77 … 80 … 26
10 ) Edgar Osuna , ATL , L - (0.50) … 62 … 70 … 43 … 68
11 ) Danny Gutierrez , KCR , R - (0.51) … 78 … 63 … 66 … 45
12 ) Jeff Locke , PIT , L - (0.66) … 69 … 51 … 41 … 63
13 ) Benino Pruneda , ATL , R - (0.68) … 60 … 22 … 72 … 25
14 ) Jose Ortegano , ATL , L - (0.80) … 61 … 61 … 55 … 44
15 ) Paolo Espino , CLE , R - (0.81) … 50 … 59 … 56 … 70
Note: Zach Putnam, Jeanmar Gomez and Rudy Owens didn’t have enough innings to qualify
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Monday, September 21, 2009: The Texas League
Next up – Monday, September 21, 2009: The Texas League
Thursday, September 17, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – California League
Posey dominated CAL pitching to the tune of a .967 OPSThe California League is next up in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Buster Posey , SFG , C - 1.03 … 77 … 73 … 75 … 67
2 ) Alex Liddi , SEA , 3B - 0.83 … 58 … 45 … 75 … 56
3 ) Tyson Gillies , SEA , CF - 0.83 … 77 … 71 … 36 … 78
4 ) Thomas Neal , SFG , LF - 0.75 … 73 … 59 … 77 … 48
5 ) Matthew Sweeney , LAA , 3B - 0.73 … 58 … 68 … 74 … 42
6 ) James Darnell , SDP , 3B - 0.57 … 52 … 71 … 78 … 44
7 ) Logan Forsythe , SDP , 3B - 0.45 … 80 … 60 … 62 … 55
8 ) Matthew Spencer , OAK , OF - 0.44 … 38 … 77 … 80 … 45
9 ) Angel Villalona , SFG , 1B - 0.31 … 38 … 44 … 52 … 29
10 ) Grant Desme , OAK , CF - 0.29 … 53 … 30 … 80 … 76
11 ) Nick Noonan , SFG , 2B - 0.18 … 53 … 57 … 43 … 57
12 ) Yefri Carvajal , SDP , RF - 0.11 … 36 … 73 … 43 … 46
13 ) Trayvon Robinson , LAD , CF - 0.09 … 65 … 38 … 63 … 79
14 ) Jack Shuck , HOU , CF - (0.04) … 74 … 79 … 28 … 69
15 ) Jason Castro , HOU , C - (0.07) … 62 … 62 … 68 … 33
16 ) Edilio Colina , SEA , 2B - (0.07) … 52 … 78 … 29 … 50
17 ) Juan Diaz , SEA , SS - (0.12) … 51 … 61 … 39 … 51
18 ) Roger Kieschnick , SFG , RF - (0.13) … 37 … 43 … 75 … 73
19 ) Koby Clemens , HOU , C - (0.14) … 53 … 41 … 78 … 49
20 ) Engel Beltre , TEX , CF - (0.14) … 29 … 56 … 29 … 73
21 ) Jemile Weeks , OAK , 2B - (0.17) … 73 … 62 … 58 … 56
22 ) Mitchell Moreland , TEX , 1B - (0.19) … 63 … 73 … 78 … 36
23 ) Brandon Crawford , SFG , SS - (0.24) … 79 … 28 … 73 … 33
24 ) Hector Gomez , COL , SS - (0.30) … 33 … 61 … 49 … 65
25 ) Jonathan Gaston , HOU , LF - (0.36) … 37 … 26 … 79 … 75
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Michael Pineda , SEA , R - 0.59 … 61 … 77 … 75 … 61
2 ) Chris Withrow , LAD , R - 0.46 … 71 … 28 … 72 … 62
3 ) Christian Friedrich , COL , L - 0.33 … 70 … 49 … 77 … 70
4 ) Ben Hornbeck , OAK , L - 0.30 … 70 … 42 … 79 … 51
5 ) Mauricio Robles , SEA , L - 0.28 … 73 … 24 … 67 … 63
6 ) Anthony Capra , OAK , L - 0.09 … 36 … 44 … 78 … 73
7 ) Alexander Torres , LAA , L - 0.03 … 72 … 29 … 63 … 73
8 ) Michael Kirkman , TEX , L - (0.10) … 75 … 49 … 70 … 74
9 ) Scott Barnes , SFG , L - (0.16) … 56 … 62 … 64 … 71
10 ) Blake Beavan , TEX , R - (0.17) … 52 … 71 … 34 … 75
11 ) Jeremy McBryde , SDP , R - (0.46) … 23 … 68 … 69 … 73
12 ) Kennil Gomez , TEX , R - (0.50) … 52 … 31 … 47 … 69
13 ) Ethan Hollingsworth , COL , R - (0.51) … 66 … 66 … 51 … 70
14 ) Zachary Phillips , TEX , L - (0.51) … 74 … 68 … 76 … 39
15 ) Phillippe Aumont , SEA , R - (0.55) … 51 … 51 … 70 … 25
16 ) Richard Bleier , TEX , L - (0.58) … 61 … 77 … 38 … 76
17 ) Corey Kluber , SDP , R - (0.58) … 51 … 56 … 70 … 73
18 ) Steve Johnson , LAD , R - (0.61) … 25 … 39 … 63 … 70
19 ) Clayton Tanner , SFG , L - (0.66) … 29 … 61 … 49 … 70
20 ) Juan Ramirez , SEA , R - (0.68) … 35 … 49 … 38 … 68
Note: Jarrod Parker, Madison Bumgarner and Trevor Reckling all would have finished in the top 5 had they pitched enough innings to qualify.
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/20122682/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Friday, September 18, 2009: The Carolina League
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – South Atlantic League
Pitching, like that of Martin Perez, outperformed SAL hittingThe South Atlantic League is the focus of our latest installment in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Derek Norris , WSN , C - 0.75 … 77 … 38 … 79 … 46
2 ) Tony Sanchez , PIT , C - 0.43 … 62 … 55 … 79 … 34
3 ) Adam Milligan , ATL , LF - 0.35 … 57 … 55 … 79 … 36
4 ) Anthony Rizzo , BOS , 1B - 0.27 … 54 … 46 … 77 … 36
5 ) Travis d'Arnaud , PHI , C - 0.22 … 35 … 73 … 72 … 51
6 ) Jake Smolinski , FLA , 3B - 0.21 … 60 … 72 … 70 … 31
7 ) Wilmer Flores , NYM , SS - 0.18 … 52 … 74 … 35 … 35
8 ) Abraham Almonte , NYY , CF - 0.15 … 66 … 66 … 40 … 80
9 ) Anthony Gose , PHI , CF - 0.05 … 49 … 56 … 36 … 80
10 ) David Mailman , BOS , LF - 0.01 … 55 … 76 … 56 … 67
11 ) Bo Greenwell , CLE , LF - (0.02) … 63 … 78 … 50 … 51
12 ) Tim Federowicz , BOS , C - (0.05) … 59 … 66 … 79 … 34
13 ) Michael Bianucci , TEX , RF - (0.06) … 53 … 64 … 80 … 49
14 ) Jerome Hoes , BAL , 2B - (0.10) … 56 … 66 … 34 … 76
15 ) Corban Joseph , NYY , 2B - (0.12) … 78 … 72 … 44 … 47
16 ) Jay Austin , HOU , CF - (0.13) … 56 … 63 … 37 … 64
17 ) Stephen Lombardozzi , WSN , 2B - (0.20) … 76 … 72 … 39 … 64
18 ) Delta Cleary Jr. , COL , CF - (0.25) … 40 … 55 … 49 … 77
19 ) Jose Pirela , NYY , SS - (0.32) … 72 … 72 … 35 … 44
20 ) Jesus Sucre , ATL , C - (0.34) … 54 … 79 … 52 … 29
21 ) Jake Jefferies , TBR , C - (0.34) … 61 … 79 … 48 … 54
22 ) Ehire Adrianza , SFG , SS - (0.35) … 68 … 70 … 33 … 60
23 ) Chase d'Arnaud , PIT , SS - (0.36) … 74 … 75 … 54 … 77
24 ) Jefry Marte , NYM , 3B - (0.40) … 32 … 47 … 45 … 38
25 ) Jordan Pacheco , COL , C - (0.43) … 61 … 79 … 68 … 72
26 ) Ryan Lavarnway , BOS , C - (0.43) … 44 … 34 … 80 … 30
27 ) Kyeong Kang , TBR , RF - (0.44) … 65 … 50 … 67 … 54
28 ) Tim Beckham , TBR , SS - (0.46) … 48 … 49 … 50 … 49
29 ) Abner Abreu , CLE , RF - (0.47) … 37 … 35 … 70 … 36
30 ) Xavier Avery , BAL , CF - (0.52) … 57 … 49 … 32 … 77
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Derek Norris , WSN , C - 0.75 … 77 … 38 … 79 … 46
2 ) Tony Sanchez , PIT , C - 0.43 … 62 … 55 … 79 … 34
3 ) Adam Milligan , ATL , LF - 0.35 … 57 … 55 … 79 … 36
4 ) Anthony Rizzo , BOS , 1B - 0.27 … 54 … 46 … 77 … 36
5 ) Travis d'Arnaud , PHI , C - 0.22 … 35 … 73 … 72 … 51
6 ) Jake Smolinski , FLA , 3B - 0.21 … 60 … 72 … 70 … 31
7 ) Wilmer Flores , NYM , SS - 0.18 … 52 … 74 … 35 … 35
8 ) Abraham Almonte , NYY , CF - 0.15 … 66 … 66 … 40 … 80
9 ) Anthony Gose , PHI , CF - 0.05 … 49 … 56 … 36 … 80
10 ) David Mailman , BOS , LF - 0.01 … 55 … 76 … 56 … 67
11 ) Bo Greenwell , CLE , LF - (0.02) … 63 … 78 … 50 … 51
12 ) Tim Federowicz , BOS , C - (0.05) … 59 … 66 … 79 … 34
13 ) Michael Bianucci , TEX , RF - (0.06) … 53 … 64 … 80 … 49
14 ) Jerome Hoes , BAL , 2B - (0.10) … 56 … 66 … 34 … 76
15 ) Corban Joseph , NYY , 2B - (0.12) … 78 … 72 … 44 … 47
16 ) Jay Austin , HOU , CF - (0.13) … 56 … 63 … 37 … 64
17 ) Stephen Lombardozzi , WSN , 2B - (0.20) … 76 … 72 … 39 … 64
18 ) Delta Cleary Jr. , COL , CF - (0.25) … 40 … 55 … 49 … 77
19 ) Jose Pirela , NYY , SS - (0.32) … 72 … 72 … 35 … 44
20 ) Jesus Sucre , ATL , C - (0.34) … 54 … 79 … 52 … 29
21 ) Jake Jefferies , TBR , C - (0.34) … 61 … 79 … 48 … 54
22 ) Ehire Adrianza , SFG , SS - (0.35) … 68 … 70 … 33 … 60
23 ) Chase d'Arnaud , PIT , SS - (0.36) … 74 … 75 … 54 … 77
24 ) Jefry Marte , NYM , 3B - (0.40) … 32 … 47 … 45 … 38
25 ) Jordan Pacheco , COL , C - (0.43) … 61 … 79 … 68 … 72
26 ) Ryan Lavarnway , BOS , C - (0.43) … 44 … 34 … 80 … 30
27 ) Kyeong Kang , TBR , RF - (0.44) … 65 … 50 … 67 … 54
28 ) Tim Beckham , TBR , SS - (0.46) … 48 … 49 … 50 … 49
29 ) Abner Abreu , CLE , RF - (0.47) … 37 … 35 … 70 … 36
30 ) Xavier Avery , BAL , CF - (0.52) … 57 … 49 … 32 … 77
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Jordan Lyles , HOU , R - 0.85 … 66 … 61 … 72 … 72
2 ) Martin Perez , TEX , L - 0.68 … 68 … 46 … 71 … 59
3 ) Jason Knapp , CLE , R - 0.68 … 69 … 29 … 76 … 63
4 ) Matthew Moore , TBR , L - 0.47 … 57 … 23 … 79 … 65
5 ) Christian Friedrich , COL , L - 0.41 … 62 … 50 … 80 … 73
6 ) Manuel Banuelos , NYY , L - 0.37 … 65 … 61 … 60 … 60
7 ) Trevor May , PHI , R - 0.31 … 64 … 24 … 75 … 69
8 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - 0.19 … 78 … 70 … 52 … 71
9 ) Randall Delgado , ATL , R - 0.05 … 40 … 40 … 68 … 67
10 ) Dimaster Delgado , ATL , L - 0.02 … 63 … 61 … 66 … 74
11 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - 0.01 … 70 … 72 … 75 … 76
12 ) Julio Teheran , ATL , R - (0.13) … 54 … 56 … 33 … 71
13 ) Jeurys Familia , NYM , R - (0.15) … 72 … 48 … 43 … 73
14 ) Matthew Way , PHI , L - (0.18) … 78 … 76 … 73 … 76
15 ) Wilmer Font , TEX , R - (0.29) … 65 … 24 … 54 … 52
16 ) Eric Surkamp , SFG , L - (0.29) … 60 … 55 … 77 … 73
17 ) Brett DeVall , ATL , L - (0.36) … 52 … 61 … 39 … 71
18 ) Kyle Allen , NYM , R - (0.36) … 45 … 38 … 48 … 68
19 ) Zeke Spruill , ATL , R - (0.39) … 37 … 68 … 43 … 74
20 ) Paul Demny , WSN , R - (0.41) … 39 … 39 … 62 … 63
21 ) Alexander Perez , CLE , R - (0.42) … 25 … 57 … 57 … 72
22 ) Brad Hand , FLA , L - (0.48) … 31 … 26 … 51 … 67
23 ) T.J. House , CLE , L - (0.50) … 51 … 44 … 42 … 69
24 ) Stolmy Pimentel , BOS , R - (0.56) … 26 … 63 … 46 … 66
25 ) J.J. Hoover , ATL , R - (0.56) … 44 … 70 … 69 … 71
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/19739624/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Thursday, September 17, 2009: The California League
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Jordan Lyles , HOU , R - 0.85 … 66 … 61 … 72 … 72
2 ) Martin Perez , TEX , L - 0.68 … 68 … 46 … 71 … 59
3 ) Jason Knapp , CLE , R - 0.68 … 69 … 29 … 76 … 63
4 ) Matthew Moore , TBR , L - 0.47 … 57 … 23 … 79 … 65
5 ) Christian Friedrich , COL , L - 0.41 … 62 … 50 … 80 … 73
6 ) Manuel Banuelos , NYY , L - 0.37 … 65 … 61 … 60 … 60
7 ) Trevor May , PHI , R - 0.31 … 64 … 24 … 75 … 69
8 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - 0.19 … 78 … 70 … 52 … 71
9 ) Randall Delgado , ATL , R - 0.05 … 40 … 40 … 68 … 67
10 ) Dimaster Delgado , ATL , L - 0.02 … 63 … 61 … 66 … 74
11 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - 0.01 … 70 … 72 … 75 … 76
12 ) Julio Teheran , ATL , R - (0.13) … 54 … 56 … 33 … 71
13 ) Jeurys Familia , NYM , R - (0.15) … 72 … 48 … 43 … 73
14 ) Matthew Way , PHI , L - (0.18) … 78 … 76 … 73 … 76
15 ) Wilmer Font , TEX , R - (0.29) … 65 … 24 … 54 … 52
16 ) Eric Surkamp , SFG , L - (0.29) … 60 … 55 … 77 … 73
17 ) Brett DeVall , ATL , L - (0.36) … 52 … 61 … 39 … 71
18 ) Kyle Allen , NYM , R - (0.36) … 45 … 38 … 48 … 68
19 ) Zeke Spruill , ATL , R - (0.39) … 37 … 68 … 43 … 74
20 ) Paul Demny , WSN , R - (0.41) … 39 … 39 … 62 … 63
21 ) Alexander Perez , CLE , R - (0.42) … 25 … 57 … 57 … 72
22 ) Brad Hand , FLA , L - (0.48) … 31 … 26 … 51 … 67
23 ) T.J. House , CLE , L - (0.50) … 51 … 44 … 42 … 69
24 ) Stolmy Pimentel , BOS , R - (0.56) … 26 … 63 … 46 … 66
25 ) J.J. Hoover , ATL , R - (0.56) … 44 … 70 … 69 … 71
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/19739624/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Thursday, September 17, 2009: The California League
2009 Performance Evaluations – Midwest League
Bad body or not, Decker feasted on MWL pitchingThe Midwest League is the focus of our latest installment in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Jaff Decker , SDP , LF - 1.36 … 79 … 41 … 79 … 52
2 ) Josh Vitters , CHN , 3B - 1.29 … 40 … 71 … 80 … 51
3 ) Brett Jackson , CHN , CF - 0.85 … 54 … 33 … 80 … 76
4 ) Brett Lawrie , MIL , 2B - 0.85 … 58 … 63 … 74 … 61
5 ) Kyler Burke , CHN , RF - 0.80 … 72 … 56 … 78 … 76
6 ) Alexia Amarista , LAA , 2B - 0.46 … 66 … 76 … 55 … 71
7 ) Drew Cumberland , SDP , SS - 0.46 … 74 … 76 … 43 … 79
8 ) Tyler Pastornicky , TOR , SS - 0.24 … 67 … 76 … 27 … 80
9 ) Angel Morales , MIN , CF - 0.20 … 36 … 35 … 74 … 74
10 ) Chris Dennis , MIL , LF - 0.13 … 65 … 30 … 79 … 39
11 ) James Darnell , SDP , 3B - 0.00 … 80 … 50 … 76 … 38
12 ) Aaron Hicks , MIN , CF - (0.03) … 65 … 53 … 54 … 48
13 ) Josh Fellhauer , CIN , CF - (0.08) … 41 … 73 … 72 … 49
14 ) Johermyn Chavez , TOR , RF - (0.11) … 48 … 37 … 76 … 52
15 ) Angel Castillo , LAA , RF - (0.16) … 34 … 34 … 69 … 78
16 ) Michael McDade , TOR , 1B - (0.17) … 40 … 38 … 77 … 29
17 ) Kyle Russell , LAD , RF - (0.23) … 46 … 21 … 80 … 80
18 ) Eric Hosmer , KCR , 1B - (0.24) … 68 … 45 … 58 … 38
19 ) Miguel Rojas , CIN , SS - (0.29) … 62 … 78 … 31 … 57
20 ) Josh Harrison , CHN , LF - (0.31) … 66 … 79 … 52 … 61
21 ) Rossmel Perez , ARZ , C - (0.34) … 67 … 79 … 28 … 34
22 ) Dee Gordon , LAD , SS - (0.39) … 72 … 69 … 32 … 80
23 ) Nino Leyja , OAK , 2B - (0.41) … 49 … 36 … 45 … 58
24 ) Jason Taylor , KCR , 3B - (0.43) … 65 … 72 … 50 … 61
25 ) Marc Krauss , ARZ , LF - (0.45) … 59 … 65 … 72 … 29
26 ) Jason Christian , OAK , 3B - (0.49) … 66 … 57 … 52 … 80
27 ) Jovan Rosa , CHN , 3B - (0.52) … 44 … 66 … 74 … 37
28 ) Billy Nowlin , DET , DH - (0.59) … 62 … 70 … 75 … 39
29 ) Avisail Garcia , DET , RF - (0.59) … 43 … 48 … 29 … 44
30 ) Reynaldo Navarro , ARZ , SS - (0.60) … 44 … 63 … 31 … 65
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Henderson Alvarez , TOR , R - 0.53 … 75 … 75 … 39 … 74
2 ) Michael Montgomery , KCR , L - 0.22 … 73 … 44 … 53 … 70
3 ) Casey Crosby , DET , L - 0.21 … 68 … 38 … 71 … 65
4 ) Mauricio Robles , DET , L - 0.21 … 26 … 36 … 76 … 72
5 ) Ben Hornbeck , OAK , L - 0.19 … 54 … 64 … 79 … 73
6 ) Tyler Chatwood , LAA , R - 0.17 … 70 … 27 … 49 … 70
7 ) Jeffry Antigua , CHN , L - 0.15 … 26 … 68 … 54 … 74
8 ) Liam Hendriks , MIN , R - 0.13 … 61 … 69 … 53 … 77
9 ) Wily Peralta , MIL , R - 0.04 … 57 … 40 … 69 … 58
10 ) Ethan Martin , LAD , R - 0.02 … 63 … 24 … 69 … 56
11 ) Will Smith , LAA , L - (0.05) … 31 … 71 … 46 … 76
12 ) Simon Castro , SDP , R - (0.06) … 48 … 65 … 71 … 71
13 ) Christopher Archer , CHN , R - (0.09) … 77 … 25 … 65 … 61
14 ) Timothy Melville , KCR , R - (0.11) … 28 … 40 … 57 … 68
15 ) Matt Hoffman , DET , L - (0.12) … 70 … 72 … 54 … 76
16 ) Arquimedes Nieto , STL , R - (0.23) … 51 … 66 … 50 … 65
17 ) Nathan Eovaldi , LAD , R - (0.28) … 72 … 43 … 34 … 56
18 ) Cody Scarpetta , MIL , R - (0.34) … 58 … 31 … 66 … 61
19 ) Ryan Chaffee , LAA , R - (0.36) … 56 … 28 … 61 … 72
20 ) Andrew Taylor , LAA , L - (0.38) … 77 … 51 … 80 … 27
21 ) Aaron Miller , LAD , L - (0.42) … 29 … 57 … 77 … 64
22 ) Christopher Huseby , CHN , R - (0.44) … 53 … 73 … 79 … 27
23 ) Efrain Nieves , MIL , L - (0.47) … 41 … 51 … 44 … 53
24 ) Brad Tippett , MIN , R - (0.65) … 46 … 74 … 38 … 76
25 ) Billy Bullock , MIN , R - (0.71) … 77 … 39 … 75 … 25
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/19739624/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Wednesday, September 16, 2009: The South Atlantic League
Monday, September 14, 2009
2009 Performance Evaluations – Florida State League
Stanton slightly edged out the performance by Jesus Montero
The Florida State League is the focus of our latest installment in our series of age-adjusted performance analysis of 19 Minor Leagues, over a period of just more than three weeks. Approximately every day, we will give you a run-down of the top age-adjusted performances of both hitters and pitchers in a different league.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2009 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The total is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
Top Hitting Performances
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Mike Stanton , FLA , RF - 1.94 … 65 … 40 … 80 … 36
2 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C - 1.90 … 64 … 71 … 80 … 31
3 ) Caleb Gindl , MIL , RF - 0.96 … 71 … 45 … 76 … 76
4 ) Domonic Brown , PHI , RF - 0.83 … 72 … 56 … 79 … 61
5 ) Matt Dominguez , FLA , 3B - 0.72 … 48 … 63 … 73 … 35
6 ) Starlin Castro , CHN , SS - 0.69 … 58 … 76 … 38 … 67
7 ) Austin Romine , NYY , C - 0.50 … 39 … 63 … 72 … 59
8 ) Yonder Alonso , CIN , DH - 0.39 … 68 … 65 … 78 … 30
9 ) Ben Revere , MIN , CF - 0.39 … 77 … 79 … 28 … 77
10 ) Moises Sierra , TOR , RF - 0.14 … 61 … 67 … 50 … 67
11 ) Chris Parmelee , MIN , 1B - 0.10 … 61 … 37 … 77 … 36
12 ) Shane Peterson , STL , RF - 0.08 … 66 … 62 … 56 … 71
13 ) John Tolisano , TOR , 2B - 0.07 … 43 … 58 … 68 … 42
14 ) Kirk Nieuwenhuis , NYM , CF - 0.05 … 45 … 41 … 76 … 73
15 ) David Adams , NYY , 2B - 0.04 … 45 … 65 … 76 … 37
16 ) Josh Vitters , CHN , 3B - (0.11) … 25 … 75 … 45 … 39
17 ) Osvaldo Martinez , FLA , SS - (0.21) … 64 … 75 … 30 … 73
18 ) Eric Farris , MIL , 2B - (0.21) … 67 … 77 … 44 … 80
19 ) Aaron Luna , STL , DH - (0.23) … 39 … 49 … 79 … 40
20 ) Logan Schafer , MIL , CF - (0.23) … 65 … 76 … 56 … 62
21 ) Brandon Laird , NYY , 3B - (0.26) … 50 … 66 … 67 … 34
22 ) Reese Havens , NYM , SS - (0.28) … 58 … 55 … 75 … 39
23 ) Neftali Soto , CIN , 3B - (0.33) … 31 … 61 … 55 … 31
24 ) Zelous Wheeler , MIL , 3B - (0.33) … 71 … 59 … 56 … 70
25 ) Ike Davis , NYM , 1B - (0.35) … 60 … 45 … 76 … 30
Name , Org , POS - Total … Reach Base … Strike Zone Judgement … Power … Speed
1 ) Mike Stanton , FLA , RF - 1.94 … 65 … 40 … 80 … 36
2 ) Jesus Montero , NYY , C - 1.90 … 64 … 71 … 80 … 31
3 ) Caleb Gindl , MIL , RF - 0.96 … 71 … 45 … 76 … 76
4 ) Domonic Brown , PHI , RF - 0.83 … 72 … 56 … 79 … 61
5 ) Matt Dominguez , FLA , 3B - 0.72 … 48 … 63 … 73 … 35
6 ) Starlin Castro , CHN , SS - 0.69 … 58 … 76 … 38 … 67
7 ) Austin Romine , NYY , C - 0.50 … 39 … 63 … 72 … 59
8 ) Yonder Alonso , CIN , DH - 0.39 … 68 … 65 … 78 … 30
9 ) Ben Revere , MIN , CF - 0.39 … 77 … 79 … 28 … 77
10 ) Moises Sierra , TOR , RF - 0.14 … 61 … 67 … 50 … 67
11 ) Chris Parmelee , MIN , 1B - 0.10 … 61 … 37 … 77 … 36
12 ) Shane Peterson , STL , RF - 0.08 … 66 … 62 … 56 … 71
13 ) John Tolisano , TOR , 2B - 0.07 … 43 … 58 … 68 … 42
14 ) Kirk Nieuwenhuis , NYM , CF - 0.05 … 45 … 41 … 76 … 73
15 ) David Adams , NYY , 2B - 0.04 … 45 … 65 … 76 … 37
16 ) Josh Vitters , CHN , 3B - (0.11) … 25 … 75 … 45 … 39
17 ) Osvaldo Martinez , FLA , SS - (0.21) … 64 … 75 … 30 … 73
18 ) Eric Farris , MIL , 2B - (0.21) … 67 … 77 … 44 … 80
19 ) Aaron Luna , STL , DH - (0.23) … 39 … 49 … 79 … 40
20 ) Logan Schafer , MIL , CF - (0.23) … 65 … 76 … 56 … 62
21 ) Brandon Laird , NYY , 3B - (0.26) … 50 … 66 … 67 … 34
22 ) Reese Havens , NYM , SS - (0.28) … 58 … 55 … 75 … 39
23 ) Neftali Soto , CIN , 3B - (0.33) … 31 … 61 … 55 … 31
24 ) Zelous Wheeler , MIL , 3B - (0.33) … 71 … 59 … 56 … 70
25 ) Ike Davis , NYM , 1B - (0.35) … 60 … 45 … 76 … 30
Top Pitching Performances
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Kyle Drabek , PHI , R - 0.91 … 76 … 59 … 77 … 76
2 ) Tim Collins , TOR , L - 0.91 … 66 … 38 … 80 … 28
3 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.80 … 76 … 57 … 58 … 73
4 ) Jay Jackson , CHN , R - 0.55 … 41 … 78 … 79 … 72
5 ) Mauricio Robles , DET , L - 0.37 … 37 … 43 … 73 … 68
6 ) Evan Anundsen , MIL , R - 0.21 … 72 … 58 … 60 … 72
7 ) Arquimedes Nieto , STL , R - 0.19 … 66 … 64 … 48 … 73
8 ) Richard Castillo , STL , R - 0.02 … 67 … 37 … 36 … 69
9 ) Jeremy Jeffress , MIL , R - (0.20) … 49 … 21 … 72 … 72
10 ) David Bromberg , MIN , R - (0.20) … 61 … 42 … 63 … 73
11 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - (0.27) … 44 … 61 … 34 … 71
12 ) Bradley Holt , NYM , R - (0.35) … 26 … 60 … 79 … 66
13 ) Alejandro Sanabia , FLA , R - (0.41) … 50 … 53 … 35 … 72
14 ) Scott Moviel , NYM , R - (0.43) … 72 … 48 … 37 … 68
15 ) Ryan Searle , CHN , R - (0.46) … 60 … 48 … 29 … 62
16 ) Alex Cobb , TBR , R - (0.47) … 57 … 67 … 55 … 70
17 ) Dellin Betances , NYY , R - (0.53) … 58 … 23 … 57 … 57
18 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - (0.53) … 73 … 49 … 48 … 72
19 ) Nicholas Additon , STL , L - (0.53) … 72 … 34 … 49 … 59
20 ) Tyler Robertson , MIN , L - (0.54) … 56 … 51 … 39 … 72
Name , ORG , POS - Total … Allow HRs … Control … Dominance … Stamina
1 ) Kyle Drabek , PHI , R - 0.91 … 76 … 59 … 77 … 76
2 ) Tim Collins , TOR , L - 0.91 … 66 … 38 … 80 … 28
3 ) Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.80 … 76 … 57 … 58 … 73
4 ) Jay Jackson , CHN , R - 0.55 … 41 … 78 … 79 … 72
5 ) Mauricio Robles , DET , L - 0.37 … 37 … 43 … 73 … 68
6 ) Evan Anundsen , MIL , R - 0.21 … 72 … 58 … 60 … 72
7 ) Arquimedes Nieto , STL , R - 0.19 … 66 … 64 … 48 … 73
8 ) Richard Castillo , STL , R - 0.02 … 67 … 37 … 36 … 69
9 ) Jeremy Jeffress , MIL , R - (0.20) … 49 … 21 … 72 … 72
10 ) David Bromberg , MIN , R - (0.20) … 61 … 42 … 63 … 73
11 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - (0.27) … 44 … 61 … 34 … 71
12 ) Bradley Holt , NYM , R - (0.35) … 26 … 60 … 79 … 66
13 ) Alejandro Sanabia , FLA , R - (0.41) … 50 … 53 … 35 … 72
14 ) Scott Moviel , NYM , R - (0.43) … 72 … 48 … 37 … 68
15 ) Ryan Searle , CHN , R - (0.46) … 60 … 48 … 29 … 62
16 ) Alex Cobb , TBR , R - (0.47) … 57 … 67 … 55 … 70
17 ) Dellin Betances , NYY , R - (0.53) … 58 … 23 … 57 … 57
18 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - (0.53) … 73 … 49 … 48 … 72
19 ) Nicholas Additon , STL , L - (0.53) … 72 … 34 … 49 … 59
20 ) Tyler Robertson , MIN , L - (0.54) … 56 … 51 … 39 … 72
A cumulative listing of all of our, to-date, league evaluations can be found here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/19739624/2009-Top-Performances-by-League
Next up – Tuesday, September 15, 2009: The Midwest League
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