2010 Performance Evaluations – Draft Eligible D1-Hitters

Christian Colon earned his lofty draft position with a spectacular 2010 campaign

As we are working on our team prospect lists, here is a look back at the 2010 College Performance Scores for draft eligible hitters. We will post the rest of our 2010 college Performance scores over the next week or so. Then we will post our AZFL Performance scores before we begin our annual look at the team-by-team prospect lists—which should begin on or about the 23rd of November.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to the level of play in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 Draft Eligible Division-I Top Hitting Performances


LastName , FirstName , College ( Org ) - Total … OnBaseRate … K Rate … wPOW … Speed
1 ) Colon , Christian , CS-Fullerton ( KCR ) - 1.38 … 65 … 78 … 77 … 63
2 ) Parker , Kyle , Clemson ( COL ) - 1.32 … 75 … 33 … 80 … 45
3 ) Grandal , Yasmani , Miami ( CIN ) - 1.25 … 78 … 62 … 80 … 28
4 ) Dietrich , Derek , Georgia Tech ( TBR ) - 1.18 … 64 … 63 … 78 … 55
5 ) Ray , Lance , Kentucky ( MIN ) - 1.14 … 46 … 55 … 80 … 34
6 ) Mummey , Trent , Auburn ( BAL ) - 1.13 … 25 … 72 … 80 … 73
7 ) Segedin , Rob , Tulane ( NYY ) - 1.12 … 76 … 75 … 80 … 53
8 ) Brown , Gary , CS-Fullerton ( SFG ) - 1.03 … 61 … 79 … 65 … 79
9 ) Duffy , Chris , Central Florida ( PHI ) - 0.96 … 79 … 56 … 80 … 39
10 ) Biserta , Pat , Rutgers ( STL ) - 0.95 … 69 … 80 … 80 … 57
11 ) Heath , Ben , Penn State ( HOU ) - 0.84 … 61 … 49 … 80 … 48
12 ) Choice , Michael , UT-Arlington ( OAK ) - 0.82 … 80 … 26 … 79 … 64
13 ) Holt , Tyler , Florida State ( CLE ) - 0.70 … 68 … 52 … 75 … 79
14 ) Landry , Leon , LSU ( LAD ) - 0.67 … 65 … 75 … 47 … 74
15 ) Roberts , Nate , High Point ( MIN ) - 0.65 … 80 … 56 … 78 … 79
16 ) Keyes , Kevin , Texas ( WSN ) - 0.61 … 57 … 50 … 79 … 73
17 ) Jurica , Carter , Kansas St ( SFG ) - 0.58 … 64 … 68 … 75 … 74
18 ) Schaus , Jeff , Clemson ( CLE ) - 0.51 … 54 … 76 … 72 … 71
19 ) Lemmerman , Jake , Duke ( LAD ) - 0.46 … 58 … 64 … 72 … 64
20 ) Brown , Shane , Central Florida ( NYY ) - 0.46 … 80 … 75 … 78 … 53
21 ) Polk , PJ , Tennessee ( DET ) - 0.37 … 72 … 64 … 70 … 78
22 ) Duren , Davis , Oklahoma State ( HOU ) - 0.35 … 65 … 76 … 53 … 79
23 ) Rutledge , Joshua , Alabama ( COL ) - 0.34 … 61 … 64 … 60 … 74
24 ) Wates , Austin , Virginia Tech ( HOU ) - 0.32 … 75 … 69 … 59 … 76
25 ) Cox , Zack , Arkansas ( STL ) - 0.32 … 73 … 63 … 49 … 74
26 ) Morris , Hunter , Auburn ( MIL ) - 0.31 … 44 … 53 … 79 … 55
27 ) Kvasnicka , Mike , Minnesota ( HOU ) - 0.27 … 77 … 71 … 76 … 29
28 ) Hinson , John , Clemson ( PHI ) - 0.25 … 58 … 50 … 76 … 78
29 ) Lohman , Devin , Long Beach State ( CIN ) - 0.22 … 79 … 57 … 54 … 39
30 ) Cusick , Jeff , UC-Irvine ( PHI ) - 0.22 … 76 … 79 … 71 … 25
31 ) Gibbs , Micah , LSU ( CHN ) - 0.21 … 75 … 70 … 63 … 59
32 ) Gosselin , Phil , Virginia ( ATL ) - 0.21 … 65 … 57 … 69 … 75
33 ) Wunderlich , Phil , Louisville ( TBR ) - 0.20 … 44 … 77 … 79 … 69
34 ) Eibner , Brett , Arkansas ( KCR ) - 0.19 … 39 … 30 … 79 … 53
35 ) Bisson , Chris , Kentucky ( SDP ) - 0.19 … 61 … 62 … 43 … 79
36 ) Senne , Aaron , Missouri ( FLA ) - 0.18 … 67 … 69 … 79 … 29
37 ) Pineda , Ryan , CS-Northridge ( OAK ) - 0.15 … 32 … 41 … 76 … 79
38 ) Brantly , Rob , UC-Riverside ( DET ) - 0.09 … 57 … 73 … 60 … 24
39 ) Canha , Mark , California ( FLA ) - 0.09 … 69 … 49 … 69 … 64
40 ) Westlake , Aaron , Vanderbilt ( TOR ) - 0.09 … 53 … 54 … 74 … 68
41 ) Zebroski , Tom , George Washington ( KCR ) - 0.08 … 72 … 76 … 79 … 69
42 ) Plagman , Tony , Georgia Tech ( DET ) - 0.05 … 55 … 45 … 80 … 69
43 ) Powers , Connor , Mississippi State ( SDP ) - 0.03 … 68 … 55 … 79 … 51
44 ) Brooks , Steven , Wake Forest ( CHN ) - 0.02 … 64 … 57 … 60 … 78
45 ) Stanley , Cody , UNC-Wilmington ( STL ) - 0.00 … 71 … 73 … 74 … 73
46 ) Nichols , Thomas , Georgia Tech ( LAA ) - (0.01) … 79 … 35 … 74 … 36
47 ) Medica , Tommy , Santa Clara ( SDP ) - (0.02) … 54 … 69 … 77 … 77
48 ) Jones , Clay , Alabama ( DET ) - (0.03) … 72 … 62 … 79 … 42
49 ) Rankin , Pierce , Washington ( TOR ) - (0.06) … 30 … 67 … 72 … 57
50 ) Kirby-Jones , AJ , Tennessee Tech ( OAK ) - (0.14) … 74 … 29 … 80 … 23