Wednesday, September 29, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – California League Pitchers

The Rangers’ Joe Wieland edged teammate Wilmer Font



Today we are finishing up the California League, with a look at the pitchers, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next three weeks we will post the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. It was a relatively thin year for pitching this years, as more and more teams continue to skip their best pitching prospect over the League and its hitting friendly environment. Nonetheless, the Rangers’ received solid performances by their duo of Wilmer Font and Joe Wieland. The Padres limited Juan Oramas’ innings, but he still managed enough to take home the third position on the list.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 California League Top Pitching Performances

Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Joseph Wieland , TEX , R - 0.48 … 47 … 75 … 68 … 71
2 ) Wilmer Font , TEX , R - 0.32 … 47 … 22 … 66 … 72
3 ) Juan Oramas , SDP , L - 0.26 … 37 … 60 … 72 … 51
4 ) Patrick Corbin , ARZ , L - 0.25 … 53 … 59 … 73 … 63
5 ) Tyler Chatwood , LAA , R - 0.13 … 60 … 39 … 51 … 74
6 ) Wilfredo Boscan , TEX , R - (0.06) … 46 … 68 … 42 … 75
7 ) Will Smith , LAA , L - (0.08) … 44 … 54 … 48 … 76
8 ) Javier Solano , LAD , R - (0.17) … 70 … 72 … 72 … 33
9 ) Eric Surkamp , SFG , L - (0.19) … 69 … 71 … 73 … 75
10 ) Nathan Eovaldi , LAD , R - (0.19) … 73 … 47 … 31 … 71
11 ) Charles Brewer , ARZ , R - (0.25) … 66 … 74 … 61 … 74
12 ) Robert Ross , TEX , L - (0.28) … 59 … 57 … 52 … 65
13 ) Garrett Richards , LAA , R - (0.30) … 41 … 66 … 74 … 68
14 ) Parker Frazier , COL , R - (0.33) … 76 … 69 … 45 … 69
15 ) Fabio Castillo , TEX , R - (0.40) … 72 … 31 … 77 … 28
16 ) Carlos Pimentel , TEX , R - (0.45) … 38 … 37 … 38 … 71
17 ) Ethan Martin , LAD , R - (0.50) … 52 … 21 … 47 … 63
18 ) Orangel Arenas , LAA , R - (0.60) … 51 … 36 … 37 … 73
19 ) Michael Main , TEX , R - (0.61) … 27 … 70 … 45 … 76
20 ) Dallas Keuchel , HOU , L - (0.63) … 57 … 72 … 47 … 77
21 ) Jorge Bucardo , SFG , R - (0.71) … 58 … 32 … 29 … 66
22 ) Ethan Hollingsworth , COL , R - (0.72) … 53 … 71 … 60 … 77
23 ) Maikel Cleto , SEA , R - (0.73) … 52 … 41 … 41 … 62
24 ) Aaron Miller , LAD , L - (0.74) … 65 … 35 … 62 … 71
25 ) Victor Capellan , ARZ , R - (0.75) … 63 … 30 … 59 … 29


DNQ Ian Krol , OAK , L - 0.20 … 27 … 37 … 63 … 67
DNQ Pat McAnaney , ARZ , L - (0.06) … 74 … 64 … 80 … 74
DNQ Brian Moran , SEA , L - (0.14) … 78 … 79 … 78 … 28
DNQ Steven Geltz , LAA , R - (0.39) … 40 … 62 … 80 … 29

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