The 2009 prep pitching crop was strong at the top and Shelby Miller just might be the best of them all
We finish the Midwest League with the pitchers today, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next four weeks we will post the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. While keeping up with the position players in the MWL was tough this year, the pitchers, led by the Cardinals’ Shelby Miller, the Tigers’ Jacob Turner and the Angels’ Tyler Skaggs did their best to try. Not only did the MWL feature expected elite talent like those three, but it got unexpected breakout performances from the Twins’ Liam Hendriks, the Padres’ Juan Oramas, the Indians’ Giovanny Soto and the Athletics’ Ian Krol. When combined with the positional talent in the League, the 2010 MWL prospects may rival the exceptional 2007 MWL class.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
2010 Midwest League Top Pitching Performances
Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Shelby Miller , STL , R - 0.67 … 52 … 60 … 77 … 64
2 ) Jacob Turner , DET , R - 0.53 … 46 … 74 … 57 … 70
3 ) Tyler Skaggs , ARZ , L - 0.49 … 48 … 67 … 63 … 63
4 ) Liam Hendriks , MIN , R - 0.46 … 77 … 77 … 78 … 75
5 ) Giovanni Soto , CLE , L - 0.45 … 54 … 60 … 55 … 72
6 ) John Lamb , KCR , L - 0.41 … 60 … 45 … 67 … 71
7 ) Ian Krol , OAK , L - 0.39 … 64 … 75 … 43 … 70
8 ) Scottie Allen , ARZ , R - 0.37 … 52 … 64 … 57 … 69
9 ) Jake Odorizzi , MIL , R - 0.26 … 54 … 58 … 68 … 73
10 ) Matt Lollis , SDP , R - 0.26 … 57 … 69 … 47 … 77
11 ) Trey McNutt , CHN , R - 0.17 … 77 … 48 … 72 … 66
12 ) Fabio Martinez Mesa , LAA , R - 0.12 … 55 … 21 … 75 … 72
13 ) Deryk Hooker , STL , R - (0.12) … 64 … 60 … 76 … 58
14 ) Erasmo Ramirez , SEA , R - (0.15) … 40 … 76 … 42 … 76
15 ) Kelvin Herrera , KCR , R - (0.19) … 60 … 54 … 54 … 72
16 ) Matt Magill , LAD , R - (0.23) … 31 … 47 … 67 … 73
17 ) Patrick Corbin , LAA , L - (0.24) … 67 … 74 … 38 … 78
18 ) Allen Webster , LAD , R - (0.30) … 62 … 48 … 46 … 71
19 ) Clayton Cook , CLE , R - (0.34) … 56 … 61 … 35 … 72
20 ) Jacob Johnson , CIN , R - (0.46) … 54 … 59 … 29 … 72
21 ) Jeffry Antigua , CHN , L - (0.48) … 26 … 55 … 53 … 65
22 ) Yoervis Medina , SEA , R - (0.48) … 41 … 58 … 72 … 77
23 ) J.C. Sulbaran , CIN , R - (0.52) … 47 … 25 … 55 … 70
24 ) Wilking Rodriguez , TBR , R - (0.53) … 30 … 66 … 47 … 69
25 ) Jose De Paula , SDP , L - (0.56) … 41 … 69 … 46 … 63
26 ) Jade Todd , DET , L - (0.58) … 39 … 56 … 40 … 70
27 ) Charles Brewer , ARZ , R - (0.59) … 63 … 63 … 71 … 73
28 ) Kyle Lobstein , TBR , L - (0.60) … 34 … 54 … 46 … 74
29 ) Su-Min Jung , CHN , R - (0.60) … 43 … 43 … 46 … 60
30 ) Jose Flores , CLE , R - (0.62) … 72 … 74 … 76 … 28
DNQ Jason Knapp , CLE , R - 0.82 … 77 … 35 … 80 … 59
DNQ Juan Oramas , SDP , L - 0.82 … 77 … 72 … 80 … 45
DNQ Daniel Corcino , CIN , R - (0.22) … 69 … 38 … 48 … 72
DNQ Adrian Rosario , MIL , R - (0.28) … 77 … 39 … 77 … 35
DNQ Drew Hutchison , TOR , R - (0.38) … 64 … 63 … 45 … 68
DNQ Joseph Gardner , CLE , R - (0.54) … 44 … 43 … 80 … 61
DNQ Donnie Joseph , CIN , L - (0.58) … 77 … 62 … 80 … 26
DNQ Martire Garcia , MIN , L - (0.64) … 47 … 20 … 56 … 65
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