Wednesday, September 22, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – South Atlantic League Pitchers

Rodriguez may not have Teheran’s upside, but he did edge him out in SAL Performance



Moving over to the pitchers of the South Atlantic League, we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next four weeks we will post the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. The position players in the SAL were a solid bunch in 2010, but may have lacked a bit in the elite talent range. A number of premium pitchers moved through the SAL this season, led by the Braves duo of Teheran and Vizcaino, but none of them had the Performance that was put on by the Phillies Julio Rodriguez, who was thoroughly dominant in 13 appearances, as he fanned 90 in 56 IP. This was the second league of the season that Rodriguez’s performance earned him the top spot.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 South Atlantic League Top Pitching Performances

Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Julio Rodriguez , PHI , R - 1.33 … 66 … 41 … 80 … 62
2 ) Julio Teheran , ATL , R - 1.16 … 71 … 63 … 76 … 74
3 ) Trevor May , PHI , R - 0.97 … 60 … 55 … 80 … 76
4 ) Joseph Ortiz , TEX , L - 0.71 … 61 … 76 … 80 … 28
5 ) Arodys Vizcaino , ATL , R - 0.62 … 74 … 76 … 62 … 70
6 ) Jarred Cosart , PHI , R - 0.44 … 63 … 67 … 70 … 70
7 ) Robert Erlin , TEX , L - 0.38 … 43 … 74 … 74 … 59
8 ) Chris Balcom-Miller , BOS , R - 0.05 … 67 … 73 … 70 … 75
9 ) Chad James , FLA , L - 0.02 … 71 … 23 … 48 … 67
10 ) Jorge Bucardo , SFG , R - (0.00) … 71 … 60 … 52 … 76
11 ) Luis Cruz , HOU , L - (0.01) … 58 … 62 … 50 … 69
12 ) Joseph Wieland , TEX , R - (0.03) … 63 … 73 … 45 … 76
13 ) Zack Wheeler , SFG , R - (0.07) … 77 … 21 … 71 … 41
14 ) Brett Marshall , NYY , R - (0.08) … 70 … 55 … 45 … 73
15 ) Tyler Matzek , COL , L - (0.09) … 52 … 20 … 58 … 69
16 ) Brody Colvin , PHI , R - (0.10) … 58 … 55 … 47 … 70
17 ) Jose A. Ramirez , NYY , R - (0.10) … 70 … 45 … 51 … 71
18 ) Tanner Bushue , HOU , R - (0.23) … 21 … 46 … 45 … 72
19 ) Nicholas Hernandez , PHI , L - (0.26) … 44 … 75 … 64 … 79
20 ) Andre Rienzo , CHA , R - (0.30) … 59 … 53 … 76 … 70
21 ) Steven Kent , ATL , L - (0.30) … 71 … 69 … 80 … 32
22 ) Miguel De Los Santos , TEX , L - (0.31) … 43 … 21 … 80 … 46
23 ) Matt Thompson , TEX , R - (0.39) … 29 … 72 … 58 … 65
24 ) Bryan Salsbury , SFG , R - (0.42) … 40 … 75 … 38 … 77
25 ) Robinson Lopez , ATL , R - (0.53) … 56 … 31 … 35 … 56
26 ) Edgar Olmos , FLA , L - (0.54) … 45 … 28 … 47 … 66
27 ) Jesse Beal , BAL , R - (0.57) … 44 … 70 … 25 … 76
28 ) Brett Oberholtzer , ATL , L - (0.58) … 62 … 68 … 46 … 75
29 ) Juan Minaya , HOU , R - (0.59) … 55 … 23 … 33 … 68
30 ) Jonathan Pettibone , PHI , R - (0.60) … 41 … 54 … 30 … 73
31 ) Graham Stoneburner , NYY , R - (0.61) … 57 … 63 … 75 … 74
32 ) Robert Ross , TEX , L - (0.62) … 73 … 68 … 31 … 75
33 ) Brett DeVall , ATL , L - (0.64) … 60 … 62 … 28 … 74
34 ) Neil Ramirez , TEX , R - (0.65) … 32 … 62 … 60 … 69
35 ) Jose Alvarez , FLA , L - (0.69) … 41 … 57 … 65 … 60


DNQ Wilmer Font , TEX , R - (0.44) … 31 … 35 … 64 … 61

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