Monday, September 20, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – New York-Penn League Pitchers

Phillies’ RHP Julio Rodriguez used a huge breaking ball to dominate NYP hitters



We finish up the short season leagues with a look at the pitchers in the NYP, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next four weeks we will post the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. It was a solid year for pitching talent in the NYP—albeit rather unspectacular. The Phillies’ Julio Rodriguez dominated NYP hitters, before moving up to the SAL, primarily with a dazzling curve ball. While there are questions about his eventual upside, he encountered few problems after his promotion and even showed an uptick in velocity.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 New York-Penn League Top Pitching Performances

Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Julio Rodriguez , PHI , R - 0.29 … 49 … 39 … 68 … 71
2 ) Drew Hutchison , TOR , R - 0.22 … 69 … 63 … 65 … 67
3 ) Josue Carreno , DET , R - (0.08) … 36 … 30 … 49 … 68
4 ) Colton Cain , PIT , L - (0.20) … 49 … 43 … 60 … 43
5 ) Yohan Almonte , NYM , R - (0.34) … 72 … 73 … 37 … 78
6 ) Josh Hodges , FLA , R - (0.40) … 40 … 40 … 33 … 67
7 ) Wilmer Almonte , TBR , R - (0.40) … 52 … 71 … 61 … 74
8 ) Rayni Guichardo , DET , L - (0.40) … 54 … 25 … 26 … 67
9 ) Michael O'Brien , NYY , R - (0.49) … 71 … 59 … 32 … 76
10 ) Drew Permison , TOR , R - (0.52) … 75 … 33 … 80 … 24
11 ) Zack Von Rosenberg , PIT , R - (0.54) … 43 … 68 … 33 … 68
12 ) Madison Younginer , BOS , R - (0.57) … 64 … 32 … 30 … 66
13 ) Angel Cuan , NYM , L - (0.59) … 67 … 69 … 47 … 77
14 ) Jacob Thompson , TBR , R - (0.63) … 75 … 74 … 55 … 59
15 ) Clemente Mendoza , DET , R - (0.65) … 28 … 59 … 31 … 77
16 ) Zach Russell , STL , R - (0.68) … 64 … 31 … 64 … 65
17 ) John Gast , STL , L - (0.68) … 66 … 67 … 70 … 65
18 ) Nik Turley , NYY , L - (0.73) … 75 … 35 … 39 … 74
19 ) Zachary Fuesser , PIT , L - (0.78) … 51 … 32 … 46 … 53
20 ) Zack Dodson , PIT , L - (0.88) … 63 … 35 … 33 … 57


DNQ Misaul Diaz , TOR , R - (0.23) … 75 … 72 … 68 … 67
DNQ Thomas Shirley , HOU , L - (0.41) … 75 … 25 … 80 … 49
DNQ Patrick Cooper , DET , R - (0.49) … 57 … 58 … 71 … 68
DNQ Wilton Rodriguez , NYY , R - (0.60) … 75 … 64 … 28 … 66
DNQ Zachary Neal , FLA , R - (0.80) … 55 … 77 … 69 … 74

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