Collins led a smallish collection of ESL pitchers in 2010Today we wrap up the AA Leagues, as we look at the pitchers of the ESL, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next two weeks we will finish posting the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. The Royals’ Tim Collins offers plenty of opportunity for ‘little’ puns, but despite the non-believers he just keeps putting up big Performances. Helped by a rather weak class of ESL pitchers in 2010, Collins easily nailed down the League’s top Performance score. Yes there are better prospects in the League, like the Indians’ Alex White, the Twins’ Kyle Gibson and the Orioles’ Zach Britton, but in 43 ESL innings, Collins posted a 1.000 WHIP and a 73:16 K:BB ratio. Just barely 21yo, we can’t help but feel that Collins will be making an appearance in Kansas City, sometime before the All-Star break next season.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
2010 Eastern League Top Pitching Performances
Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Tim Collins , KCR , L - 0.88 … 47 … 51 … 80 … 26
2 ) Adam Warren , NYY , R - 0.23 … 72 … 63 … 73 … 70
3 ) Rudy Owens , PIT , L - 0.03 … 59 … 76 … 64 … 73
4 ) David Phelps , NYY , R - (0.01) … 76 … 67 … 69 … 76
5 ) Jeff Locke , PIT , L - (0.01) … 52 … 72 … 67 … 73
6 ) Billy Bullock , MIN , R - (0.03) … 53 … 22 … 80 … 26
7 ) Felix Doubront , BOS , L - (0.06) … 79 … 47 … 57 … 70
8 ) Tom Milone , WSN , L - (0.09) … 63 … 76 … 69 … 73
9 ) Alex White , CLE , R - (0.12) … 58 … 68 … 43 … 74
10 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - (0.13) … 42 … 52 … 48 … 61
11 ) Justin Wilson , PIT , L - (0.18) … 75 … 33 … 63 … 69
12 ) Kyle Gibson , MIN , R - (0.21) … 67 … 70 … 53 … 73
13 ) Zachary Britton , BAL , L - (0.25) … 70 … 59 … 48 … 73
14 ) Andrew Oliver , DET , L - (0.28) … 50 … 59 … 60 … 71
15 ) Matt Packer , CLE , L - (0.30) … 54 … 69 … 55 … 75
16 ) Kyle Drabek , TOR , R - (0.34) … 57 … 43 … 52 … 74
17 ) Hector Noesi , NYY , R - (0.41) … 57 … 74 … 59 … 73
18 ) Brayan Villarreal , DET , R - (0.43) … 29 … 52 … 72 … 70
19 ) J.C. Ramirez , PHI , R - (0.47) … 27 … 61 … 42 … 74
20 ) Mark Cohoon , NYM , L - (0.49) … 60 … 72 … 47 … 70
21 ) Scott Barnes , CLE , L - (0.56) … 40 … 43 … 59 … 69
22 ) Vance Worley , PHI , R - (0.60) … 55 … 59 … 41 … 74
23 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - (0.64) … 28 … 53 … 31 … 70
24 ) David Bromberg , MIN , R - (0.68) … 72 … 54 … 32 … 73
25 ) Tim Alderson , PIT , R - (0.69) … 39 … 62 … 31 … 66
26 ) Brad Meyers , WSN , R - (0.71) … 45 … 70 … 78 … 67
27 ) Bryan Morris , PIT , R - (0.75) … 44 … 55 … 62 … 63
28 ) Phillippe Aumont , PHI , R - (0.76) … 54 … 20 … 35 … 61
29 ) Kelvin De La Cruz , CLE , L - (0.80) … 31 … 21 … 42 … 63
30 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - (0.87) … 51 … 42 … 38 … 73
DNQ Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.52 … 79 … 31 … 66 … 62
DNQ Adam Wilk , DET , L - (0.14) … 72 … 72 … 38 … 79
DNQ Charles Furbush , DET , L - (0.57) … 26 … 62 … 75 … 77
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
2010 Eastern League Top Pitching Performances
Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Tim Collins , KCR , L - 0.88 … 47 … 51 … 80 … 26
2 ) Adam Warren , NYY , R - 0.23 … 72 … 63 … 73 … 70
3 ) Rudy Owens , PIT , L - 0.03 … 59 … 76 … 64 … 73
4 ) David Phelps , NYY , R - (0.01) … 76 … 67 … 69 … 76
5 ) Jeff Locke , PIT , L - (0.01) … 52 … 72 … 67 … 73
6 ) Billy Bullock , MIN , R - (0.03) … 53 … 22 … 80 … 26
7 ) Felix Doubront , BOS , L - (0.06) … 79 … 47 … 57 … 70
8 ) Tom Milone , WSN , L - (0.09) … 63 … 76 … 69 … 73
9 ) Alex White , CLE , R - (0.12) … 58 … 68 … 43 … 74
10 ) Casey Kelly , BOS , R - (0.13) … 42 … 52 … 48 … 61
11 ) Justin Wilson , PIT , L - (0.18) … 75 … 33 … 63 … 69
12 ) Kyle Gibson , MIN , R - (0.21) … 67 … 70 … 53 … 73
13 ) Zachary Britton , BAL , L - (0.25) … 70 … 59 … 48 … 73
14 ) Andrew Oliver , DET , L - (0.28) … 50 … 59 … 60 … 71
15 ) Matt Packer , CLE , L - (0.30) … 54 … 69 … 55 … 75
16 ) Kyle Drabek , TOR , R - (0.34) … 57 … 43 … 52 … 74
17 ) Hector Noesi , NYY , R - (0.41) … 57 … 74 … 59 … 73
18 ) Brayan Villarreal , DET , R - (0.43) … 29 … 52 … 72 … 70
19 ) J.C. Ramirez , PHI , R - (0.47) … 27 … 61 … 42 … 74
20 ) Mark Cohoon , NYM , L - (0.49) … 60 … 72 … 47 … 70
21 ) Scott Barnes , CLE , L - (0.56) … 40 … 43 … 59 … 69
22 ) Vance Worley , PHI , R - (0.60) … 55 … 59 … 41 … 74
23 ) Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - (0.64) … 28 … 53 … 31 … 70
24 ) David Bromberg , MIN , R - (0.68) … 72 … 54 … 32 … 73
25 ) Tim Alderson , PIT , R - (0.69) … 39 … 62 … 31 … 66
26 ) Brad Meyers , WSN , R - (0.71) … 45 … 70 … 78 … 67
27 ) Bryan Morris , PIT , R - (0.75) … 44 … 55 … 62 … 63
28 ) Phillippe Aumont , PHI , R - (0.76) … 54 … 20 … 35 … 61
29 ) Kelvin De La Cruz , CLE , L - (0.80) … 31 … 21 … 42 … 63
30 ) D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - (0.87) … 51 … 42 … 38 … 73
DNQ Jenrry Mejia , NYM , R - 0.52 … 79 … 31 … 66 … 62
DNQ Adam Wilk , DET , L - (0.14) … 72 … 72 … 38 … 79
DNQ Charles Furbush , DET , L - (0.57) … 26 … 62 … 75 … 77
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