Tuesday, October 12, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – Pacific Coast League Hitters

The Royals’ Moustakas put on an offensive clinic in the PCL




We are down to our final League, as today we take a look at the PCL hitters today, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. There was a ton of position player talent in the PCL this year, but none of the Performances were even close to what the Royals’ Mike Moustakas posted, as he blasted 15HRs with a .564 SLG in 225 ABs as a 20yo. But Moustakas was just the beginning as League observers saw many big names this year including likely NL ROY, Buster Posey; the Marlins’ Logan Morrison; the Mariners’ Dustin Ackley and Ackley’s teammate Justin Smoak.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.




2010 Pacific Coast League Top Hitting Performances


Name Org POS TOTAL Reach Base Strike Zone Judgement Power Speed
1 ) Mike Moustakas , KCR , 3B - 1.09 … 23 … 75 … 79 … 43
2 ) Logan Morrison , FLA , 1B - 0.28 … 78 … 67 … 55 … 32
3 ) Buster Posey , SFG , C - 0.20 … 78 … 57 … 63 … 34
4 ) Cameron Maybin , FLA , OF - 0.03 … 76 … 53 … 53 … 58
5 ) J.P. Arencibia , TOR , C - 0.02 … 26 … 45 … 80 … 31
6 ) Kila Ka'aihue , KCR , 1B - (0.02) … 80 … 42 … 79 … 42
7 ) Hank Conger , LAA , C - (0.04) … 67 … 66 … 51 … 29
8 ) Cedric Hunter , SDP , CF - (0.04) … 41 … 78 … 34 … 58
9 ) Jon Jay , STL , LF - (0.05) … 62 … 70 … 60 … 80
10 ) Brad Emaus , TOR , 3B - (0.07) … 66 … 62 … 62 … 66
11 ) Justin Smoak , SEA , 1B - (0.07) … 73 … 41 … 71 … 31
12 ) Daniel Descalso , STL , 2B - (0.13) … 55 … 76 … 46 … 58
13 ) Brandon Allen , ARZ , 1B - (0.13) … 65 … 29 … 75 … 75
14 ) Peter Bourjos , LAA , CF - (0.18) … 44 … 52 … 46 … 80
15 ) Chad Tracy , TEX , DH - (0.31) … 43 … 53 … 75 … 52
16 ) Mike Baxter , SDP , 1B - (0.34) … 60 … 62 … 66 … 74
17 ) Eric Sogard , OAK , 2B - (0.36) … 78 … 70 … 34 … 60
18 ) Chris Carter , OAK , LF - (0.41) … 45 … 23 … 79 … 34
19 ) Justin Sellers , LAD , SS - (0.43) … 51 … 59 … 64 … 48
20 ) Dustin Ackley , SEA , 2B - (0.49) … 41 … 56 … 46 … 40
21 ) Mike Carp , SEA , 1B - (0.55) … 30 … 37 … 77 … 33
22 ) Mark Trumbo , LAA , 1B - (0.55) … 41 … 34 … 77 … 37
23 ) Bryan Anderson , STL , C - (0.55) … 52 … 48 … 65 … 31
24 ) Jarrett Hoffpauir , TOR , 3B - (0.57) … 61 … 78 … 61 … 61
25 ) Jason Castro , HOU , C - (0.58) … 75 … 62 … 33 … 34
26 ) Jack Shuck , HOU , OF - (0.59) … 75 … 75 … 22 … 58
27 ) Mat Gamel , MIL , 3B - (0.61) … 61 … 45 … 69 … 45
28 ) Marquez Smith , CHN , 3B - (0.61) … 44 … 36 … 77 … 43
29 ) David Lough , KCR , OF - (0.63) … 54 … 64 … 42 … 72
30 ) Xavier Paul , LAD , OF - (0.64) … 31 … 55 … 73 … 59
31 ) Donovan Solano , STL , SS - (0.65) … 35 … 75 … 30 … 40
32 ) Mitch Moreland , TEX , RF - (0.65) … 55 … 56 … 65 … 39
33 ) Eric Farris , MIL , 2B - (0.67) … 42 … 75 … 28 … 79
34 ) Welington Castillo , CHN , C - (0.68) … 23 … 33 … 76 … 29
35 ) Chris Nelson , COL , SS - (0.69) … 56 … 60 … 54 … 58
36 ) Brett Wallace , HOU , 1B - (0.70) … 38 … 42 … 68 … 34
37 ) Chris Johnson , HOU , 3B - (0.71) … 40 … 64 … 74 … 31
38 ) Luis Durango , SDP , CF - (0.71) … 80 … 62 … 22 … 77
39 ) Adrian Cardenas , OAK , 2B - (0.72) … 64 … 70 … 26 … 37
40 ) Josh Donaldson , OAK , C - (0.73) … 44 … 27 … 76 … 45
41 ) Alex Gordon , KCR , OF - (0.73) … 75 … 25 … 77 … 62
42 ) John Bowker , SFG , LF - (0.73) … 50 … 52 … 79 … 33
43 ) Allen Craig , STL , LF - (0.73) … 60 … 50 … 73 … 37
44 ) Greg Halman , SEA , OF - (0.74) … 22 … 20 … 79 … 77
45 ) Ivan De Jesus , LAD , 2B - (0.76) … 38 … 65 … 34 … 62
46 ) Steven Tolleson , OAK , SS - (0.78) … 77 … 59 … 57 … 66
47 ) Manuel Pina , KCR , C - (0.79) … 23 … 72 … 54 … 30
48 ) Jesus Guzman , SFG , 3B - (0.79) … 59 … 65 … 64 … 49
49 ) Robinson Chirinos , CHN , C - (0.80) … 50 … 67 … 76 … 31
50 ) Darwin Barney , CHN , SS - (0.82) … 55 … 75 … 28 … 72


DNQ Brandon Belt , SFG , 1B - 0.37 … 49 … 22 … 80 … 45
DNQ Alexi Amarista , LAA , 2B - 0.16 … 43 … 79 … 36 … 51
DNQ Manny Mayorson , TOR , SS - (0.83) … 49 … 79 … 37 … 79



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