Hellickson will force someone out of the Rays rotation in 2011Wrapping up the International League, today we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations, by examining INT pitchers. The League saw many big names this year, as Jeremy Hellickson topped the list, but the biggest name—Nationals’ RHP Stephen Strasburg—fell just short of qualifying. While the list is full of solid MLB prospects up and down it, with the likes of: Craig Kimbrel, Alrodis Chapman, Zach Britton, Chris Tillman, Kyle Gibson, etc., the performances turned in by many of them fell a bit short of expectations.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
2010 International League Top Pitching Performances
Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Jeremy Hellickson , TBR , R - 0.34 … 72 … 61 … 70 … 71
2 ) Brandon Beachy , ATL , R - 0.26 … 71 … 77 … 72 … 72
3 ) Craig Kimbrel , ATL , R - 0.18 … 68 … 22 … 80 … 27
4 ) Travis Wood , CIN , L - 0.10 … 53 … 69 … 67 … 75
5 ) Aroldis Chapman , CIN , L - (0.00) … 60 … 26 … 78 … 37
6 ) Daniel Hudson , CHA , R - (0.01) … 32 … 56 … 75 … 70
7 ) Zachary Britton , BAL , L - (0.06) … 70 … 53 … 52 … 70
8 ) Chris Tillman , BAL , R - (0.10) … 57 … 68 … 46 … 72
9 ) Andrew Oliver , DET , L - (0.15) … 44 … 34 … 60 … 73
10 ) Vance Worley , PHI , R - (0.17) … 63 … 71 … 48 … 71
11 ) Carlos Carrasco , CLE , R - (0.27) … 47 … 60 … 57 … 73
12 ) Ivan Nova , NYY , R - (0.32) … 61 … 56 … 47 … 75
13 ) David Bromberg , MIN , R - (0.33) … 25 … 67 … 59 … 72
14 ) Felix Doubront , BOS , L - (0.35) … 75 … 39 … 55 … 57
15 ) David Phelps , NYY , R - (0.36) … 66 … 74 … 49 … 73
16 ) Jake Arrieta , BAL , R - (0.38) … 71 … 35 … 58 … 74
17 ) Dillon Gee , NYM , R - (0.50) … 32 … 67 … 65 … 72
18 ) Hector Noesi , NYY , R - (0.56) … 67 … 71 … 40 … 75
19 ) Aneury Rodriguez , TBR , R - (0.57) … 56 … 39 … 50 … 58
20 ) Kyle Gibson , MIN , R - (0.62) … 78 … 58 … 31 … 68
21 ) Jeanmar Gomez , CLE , R - (0.65) … 34 … 51 … 35 … 72
22 ) Jose Ortegano , ATL , L - (0.77) … 37 … 40 … 44 … 65
23 ) Paolo Espino , CLE , R - (0.79) … 26 … 62 … 44 … 73
24 ) Scott Diamond , ATL , L - (0.79) … 73 … 65 … 31 … 71
25 ) Zach McAllister , CLE , R - (0.81) … 33 … 60 … 33 … 70
26 ) Shairon Martis , WSN , R - (0.83) … 53 … 45 … 34 … 71
27 ) Brad Lincoln , PIT , R - (0.86) … 48 … 67 … 57 … 70
28 ) Michael Dunn , ATL , L - (0.89) … 76 … 28 … 79 … 27
29 ) Vinnie Pestano , CLE , R - (0.89) … 76 … 60 … 79 … 26
30 ) Brandon Erbe , BAL , R - (0.90) … 28 … 59 … 36 … 66
DNQ Stephen Strasburg , WSN , R - 1.13 … 74 … 72 … 78 … 71
DNQ Mike Minor , ATL , L - 0.65 … 74 … 51 … 76 … 71
DNQ Jake McGee , TBR , L - 0.51 … 78 … 75 … 80 … 30
DNQ D.J. Mitchell , NYY , R - (0.17) … 78 … 45 … 54 … 73
DNQ Josh Stinson , NYM , R - (0.32) … 24 … 63 … 48 … 78
DNQ Antonio Bastardo , PHI , L - (0.32) … 78 … 53 … 80 … 25
DNQ Thad Weber , DET , R - (0.73) … 54 … 77 … 56 … 78
DNQ Deolis Guerra , MIN , R - (0.82) … 22 … 57 … 35 … 66
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