Saturday, October 2, 2010
2010 Performance Evaluations – Texas League Hitters
Today we begin the AA Leagues, examining the hitters of the Texas League, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next two weeks we will finish posting the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. It was a solid group of position players in the TXL this season, but it was the Royals affiliate that dominated this list. Eric Hosmer edged teammate Mike Moustakas for the top spot, and six Royals prospects finished in the top fifteen spots.
A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).
A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.
2010 Texas League Top Hitting Performances
Name Org POS TOTAL Reach Base Strike Zone Judgement Power Speed
1 ) Eric Hosmer , KCR , 1B - 1.57 … 32 … 71 … 80 … 48
2 ) Mike Moustakas , KCR , 3B - 1.50 … 44 … 65 … 80 … 31
3 ) Wilin Rosario , COL , C - 0.67 … 33 … 48 … 79 … 38
4 ) Cedric Hunter , SDP , CF - 0.38 … 75 … 79 … 46 … 54
5 ) Alexi Amarista , LAA , 2B - 0.22 … 74 … 79 … 27 … 54
6 ) Adrian Cardenas , OAK , 2B - 0.15 … 79 … 75 … 51 … 39
7 ) Johnny Giavotella , KCR , 2B - 0.03 … 72 … 73 … 53 … 66
8 ) Engel Beltre , TEX , CF - 0.01 … 45 … 73 … 30 … 70
9 ) Thomas Pham , STL , CF - 0.01 … 72 … 41 … 71 … 50
10 ) Charles Blackmon , COL , OF - (0.11) … 49 … 74 … 67 … 77
11 ) Aaron Luna , STL , OF - (0.20) … 74 … 42 … 72 … 59
12 ) Peter Kozma , STL , SS - (0.22) … 43 … 45 … 58 … 79
13 ) Tim Smith , KCR , LF - (0.23) … 67 … 72 … 61 … 76
14 ) Derrick Robinson , KCR , CF - (0.30) … 60 … 64 … 35 … 80
15 ) Clint Robinson , KCR , 1B - (0.46) … 56 … 60 … 79 … 45
16 ) Jose Garcia , STL , 2B - (0.58) … 50 … 59 … 42 … 69
17 ) James Darnell , SDP , 3B - (0.63) … 59 … 63 … 61 … 44
18 ) Corey Brown , OAK , OF - (0.65) … 76 … 27 … 58 … 80
19 ) Manuel Pina , KCR , C - (0.67) … 42 … 71 … 59 … 31
20 ) Marcus Lemon , TEX , 2B - (0.67) … 57 … 61 … 36 … 46
21 ) Jack Shuck , HOU , OF - (0.70) … 78 … 70 … 32 … 49
22 ) Shane Peterson , OAK , OF - (0.72) … 60 … 40 … 40 … 76
23 ) Koby Clemens , HOU , 1B - (0.77) … 47 … 22 … 78 … 68
24 ) Jeremy Moore , LAA , OF - (0.77) … 65 … 30 … 56 … 77
25 ) Jorge Minyety , SDP , SS - (0.78) … 71 … 35 … 30 … 31
DNQ Jose Felix , TEX , C - (0.49) … 37 … 79 … 33 … 31
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Where's Matt Carpenter
ReplyDeleteIf the list had gone one name further Matt Carpenter at -0.786 would have appeared. The main knock against him is the age. There isn't much upside in players at this level who are 24yo.
ReplyDelete