Tuesday, October 5, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – Southern League Hitters

Before his Big League call-up, Mike Stanton posted this season’s best overall score


It’s on to the Southern League, where we examine the position players, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next two weeks we will finish posting the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. There was little doubt as to who was going to have the best SOL hitting Performance score this season, as the Marlins’ Mike Stanton belted 21 home runs in a little over 190 At Bats, before his MLB promotion. The rest of the League was a bit down this year, but the Reds’ Devin Mesoraco put together a breakout season, and Tyler Pastornicky showed that his FSL performance was no fluke. Also, the Mariners’ Dustin Ackley and the Marlins’ Matt Dominguez look like they are ready to make a contribution at the Major League level in 2011.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 Southern League Top Hitting Performances


Name Org POS TOTAL Reach Base Strike Zone Judgement Power Speed
1 ) Mike Stanton , FLA , RF - 2.68 … 67 … 33 … 80 … 35
2 ) Devin Mesoraco , CIN , C - 0.79 … 33 … 55 … 80 … 36
3 ) Brandon Guyer , CHN , RF - 0.50 … 40 … 70 … 78 … 80
4 ) TylerPastornicky , ATL , 2B - 0.20 … 59 … 64 … 40 … 73
5 ) Jerry Sands , LAD , 1B - 0.14 … 39 … 42 … 79 … 53
6 ) Dustin Ackley , SEA , 2B - 0.09 … 71 … 69 … 42 … 62
7 ) Matt Dominguez , FLA , 3B - 0.09 … 41 … 57 … 66 … 29
8 ) Brett Lawrie , MIL , 2B - 0.08 … 39 … 50 … 51 … 75
9 ) Caleb Gindl , MIL , OF - (0.06) … 54 … 63 … 56 … 57
10 ) Brett Jackson , CHN , CF - (0.13) … 53 … 33 … 63 … 78
11 ) Josh Vitters , CHN , 3B - (0.17) … 22 … 54 … 68 … 42
12 ) Osvaldo Martinez , FLA , SS - (0.19) … 70 … 72 … 39 … 54
13 ) Robinson Chirinos , CHN , C - (0.23) … 64 … 71 … 80 … 30
14 ) Collin Cowgill , ARZ , RF - (0.26) … 49 … 68 … 68 … 76
15 ) Dave Sappelt , CIN , CF - (0.26) … 74 … 69 … 64 … 51
16 ) Willie Cabrera , ATL , OF - (0.37) … 44 … 76 … 61 … 63
17 ) Carlos Triunfel , SEA , SS - (0.41) … 33 … 74 … 33 … 30
18 ) Marwin Gonzalez , CHN , SS - (0.48) … 34 … 71 … 36 … 46
19 ) Zelous Wheeler , MIL , SS - (0.54) … 72 … 65 … 50 … 53
20 ) Russ Canzler , CHN , 1B - (0.56) … 39 … 35 … 80 … 43
21 ) Trayvon Robinson , LAD , CF - (0.58) … 75 … 30 … 49 … 77
22 ) Eduardo Escobar , CHA , SS - (0.64) … 33 … 62 … 40 … 47
23 ) Dee Gordon , LAD , SS - (0.65) … 51 … 65 … 27 … 79
24 ) Alex Liddi , SEA , 3B - (0.65) … 37 … 30 … 69 … 37
25 ) Lorenzo Cain , MIL , OF - (0.67) … 79 … 50 … 33 … 80
26 ) Jesus Sucre , ATL , C - (0.68) … 25 … 73 … 52 … 30
27 ) Andrew Lambo , LAD , LF - (0.69) … 34 … 49 … 53 … 34
28 ) Jacob Elmore , ARZ , 2B - (0.70) … 76 … 68 … 29 … 69
29 ) Matthew Spencer , CHN , OF - (0.72) … 43 … 45 … 73 … 69
30 ) Brent Morel , CHA , 3B - (0.73) … 66 … 55 … 45 … 41


DNQ Starlin Castro , CHN , SS - 0.62 … 70 … 75 … 50 … 39
DNQ Yonder Alonso , CIN , 1B - (0.23) … 75 … 65 … 60 … 46
DNQ Matt Wallach , LAD , C - (0.64) … 70 … 68 … 70 … 36
DNQ Ryan Wheeler , ARZ , 3B - (0.69) … 30 … 42 … 72 … 30

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