Friday, October 1, 2010

2010 Performance Evaluations – Florida State League Pitchers

It was a breakout season for the Yankees’ Manny Banuelos




We complete our look at the Class-A Leagues with today’s examination of the Florida State League pitchers, as we continue our annual examination of Performance for each of eighteen Minor Leagues that have affiliations with MLB organizations. Over the next three weeks we will post the Performance analysis for approximately three leagues each week until we have run through them all. One of the biggest risers this season in the Minor League pitching ranks was teen sensation Manny Banuelos, who pitched at three levels—eventually ending at AA. But the bulk of Banuelos’ time was spent in the FSL, and he was spectacular, fanning 62 in 44 innings while posting a 2.23 ERA. By doing so, Banuelos headed much bigger names on this list like the Rays’, Matt Moore; the Tigers’ Jacob Turner; and even Yankee teammate Dellin Betances. When you look at the League list, there is likely seven names that will end up on the year-end Top 100 list, so the talent in the League was strong this year.

A couple of things to remember about our Performance evaluations: 1) these are not necessarily prospect lists. While it is fair to assume that the best prospects will put up the best performances, these lists focus only on a player’s offensive performance while they were in the league during the 2010 season. They do not consider things like defensive ability, offense vs. required offense for a given position, or projectability. Prospect evaluation is a combination of art and science and this is the science part of that equation. Later in the fall, we will breakdown each team’s ‘prospects’ and rank them in ‘prospect value’ order. 2) What it is, is a comparative statistical look at each players performance, placed in context of their age, their home park, and the league. We rate each player in the five categories that we have found most significant in predicting future Major League performance. The players that rate the highest, have assembled the best ‘Performance’ in these areas. For a more detailed look at the statistics involved you can refer to previous articles on the site (http://baseballnumbers-diamondfutures.blogspot.com/2009/09/do-it-yourself-quantitative-examination.html).

A quick note about the rankings…The TOTAL is the weighted numerical value of the combined statistics that we use. It is scaled for the level of play. Typically, a player with a positive score will rank in the top 1% - 2% of all Minor League players. After the total we list the sub-scores in 4 areas of significance. These scores are presented, for ease of understanding, in a typical 20-80 scouting format. They represent how the individual player performed in those areas in relation to THE LEAGUE in question. A score of 50 represents league average. Players listed as ‘DNQ’ did not qualify for the rankings because of their limited playing time, but we felt their scores were worth noting. If you have further questions on the methodology, feel free to email me at baseballnumbers@ix.netcom.com.



2010 Florida State League Top Pitching Performances


Name ORG POS Total HR Rate Control Dominance Stamina
1 ) Manuel Banuelos , NYY , L - 1.25 … 71 … 54 … 79 … 62
2 ) Matthew Moore , TBR , L - 0.88 … 55 … 39 … 79 … 73
3 ) Jacob Turner , DET , R - 0.57 … 56 … 66 … 49 … 65
4 ) Dellin Betances , NYY , R - 0.35 … 74 … 61 … 77 … 69
5 ) Trey McNutt , CHN , R - 0.33 … 38 … 67 … 76 … 63
6 ) Liam Hendriks , MIN , R - 0.23 … 69 … 75 … 57 … 74
7 ) Deryk Hooker , STL , R - 0.20 … 78 … 51 … 55 … 70
8 ) Brad Hand , FLA , L - 0.13 … 38 … 49 … 54 … 72
9 ) Jeurys Familia , NYM , R - 0.04 … 49 … 23 … 63 … 68
10 ) Christopher Archer , CHN , R - (0.06) … 51 … 48 … 72 … 66
11 ) Nick Barnese , TBR , R - (0.16) … 61 … 67 … 46 … 74
12 ) Joseph Cruz , TBR , R - (0.25) … 60 … 60 … 55 … 73
13 ) J.C. Ramirez , PHI , R - (0.25) … 67 … 61 … 47 … 74
14 ) Cody Scarpetta , MIL , R - (0.27) … 67 … 28 … 64 … 65
15 ) Alberto Cabrera , CHN , R - (0.31) … 44 … 59 … 59 … 70
16 ) Trevor May , PHI , R - (0.33) … 24 … 20 … 71 … 61
17 ) Wily Peralta , MIL , R - (0.43) … 56 … 45 … 36 … 72
18 ) Henderson Alvarez , TOR , R - (0.45) … 28 … 64 … 34 … 67
19 ) Arquimedes Nieto , STL , R - (0.48) … 51 … 51 … 33 … 74
20 ) Kyle Gibson , MIN , R - (0.54) … 57 … 60 … 58 … 76
21 ) Robert Whitenack , CHN , R - (0.55) … 54 … 63 … 40 … 73
22 ) Hector Noesi , NYY , R - (0.57) … 39 … 74 … 77 … 71
23 ) Robert Carson , NYM , L - (0.61) … 49 … 45 … 41 … 69
24 ) Bryan Morris , PIT , R - (0.62) … 78 … 72 … 58 … 73
25 ) Joel Carreno , TOR , R - (0.66) … 48 … 67 … 74 … 69
26 ) Graham Stoneburner , NYY , R - (0.66) … 62 … 65 … 57 … 72
27 ) Charles Furbush , DET , L - (0.66) … 29 … 70 … 79 … 75
28 ) Phillippe Aumont , PHI , R - (0.67) … 30 … 25 … 58 … 63
29 ) Adrian Salcedo , MIN , R - (0.74) … 22 … 57 … 26 … 63
30 ) Andrei Lobanov , MIN , L - (0.75) … 63 … 70 … 48 … 31


DNQ Jhan Marinez , FLA , R - (0.03) … 62 … 26 … 80 … 26
DNQ Casey Mulligan , STL , R - (0.32) … 78 … 61 … 80 … 25

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